HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Blake Coleman

Minnesota Wild · LW · #20
Middle-six playerMiddle-Six Engine?Reliable minutes: 35 points and honest two-way play
HT
5'11"
WT
199 lb
Age
34
Shoots
L
From
Plano, USA
Draft
2011 NJD · R3 #75
74Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
7575pctl
Playmaking?
5656pctl
Transition?
8080pctl
Defense?
7878pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.5161pctl
Goals / GP?
0.2976pctl
Assists / GP?
0.2244pctl
Shots / GP?
2.689pctl
Plus/Minus?
+1287pctl
PP Points?
135pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
11.3%93pctl
ZEIS?
3.2187pctl
PSPL?
0.1873pctl
Def Suppression?
0.7078pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP
Shots / 60?
8.887pctl
Hits / 60?
7.675pctl
Take : Give?
0.4479pctl
Blocks / 60?
2.4075pctl
PP TOI / GP?
1:1744pctl
PK TOI / GP?
2:1096pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 45 GP tracked · 13h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
18.1 min95pctl
Support received?
18.1 min27pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 958 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$4.90M

cap hit

$5.68M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$0.8M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Blake Coleman74$4.90MB+$0.8Mthis player
Ryan Hartman77$4.00MA+$2.6M87%
Will Cuylle73$3.90MB+$1.5M85%
Quinton Byfield77$6.25MC+$0.4M81%
Trevor Moore71$4.20MC+$0.6M81%

Chemistry

Top connection: Mikael Backlund · 15 goals together

Recent form · last 10 games

6 pts · 4 G · 2 A · 28 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs ANA

1P

1G 0A

vs VAN

0P

0G 0A

@ COL

0P

0G 0A

@ VGK

2P

2G 0A

@ ANA

1P

0G 1A

@ DAL

0P

0G 0A

@ SEA

0P

0G 0A

vs UTA

1P

0G 1A

vs COL

1P

1G 0A

vs LAK

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)306 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 10 of 20 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 26 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 57 blocks · 13 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2016-17New Jersey Devils23112-7
2017-18New Jersey Devils791312257
2018-19New Jersey Devils78221436-19
2019-20New Jersey Devils57211031-2
2019-20Tampa Bay Lightning90112
2020-21Tampa Bay Lightning5514173115
2021-22Calgary Flames8116173316
2022-23Calgary Flames821820389
2023-24Calgary Flames7830245419
2024-25Calgary Flames82152439-2
2025-26Calgary Flames6920153512
Career3 teams69317015532550