Regular season

Brayden Pachal

Calgary Flames · D · #94

Depth DHeavy Hitter?89 hits (9.9/60) - punishes the forecheck

HT: 6'2"
WT: 202 lb
Age: 26
Shoots: R
From: Estevan, CAN

60Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

2323pctl

3232pctl

4343pctl

3838pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.1822pctl

0.0322pctl

0.1528pctl

0.717pctl

-144pctl

027pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

1.1%5pctl

1.1928pctl

0.0624pctl

Def Suppression?

0.1012pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

1.0325pctl

4.4360pctl

Blocks / 100 shifts?

4.932pctl

9.997pctl

0.2338pctl

0:003pctl

0:4524pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 22 GP tracked · 5h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

44.6%15pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

53.6%68pctl

O-zone deployment?

55%72pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

16.9 min16pctl

Support received?

15.4 min98pctl

D-zone deployment?

45%28pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.004pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.2114pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.030pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.11/gm90pctl

Pressure escape rate?

6.3%15pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 512 EV min

General Offense

3.2844

3.4057

Shot Setups/60?

1.1775

Chance Setups/60?

0.9472

Primary Contributions/60?

4.4552

Rebounds Created/60?

0.5977

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0034

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.7081

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.0021

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0037

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.1256

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

2.3477

Rush Offense/60?

5.7453

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.1224

0.0019

0.0030

Deflections/60?

0.0028

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.2383

Entries Finished/60?

0.1225

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.0023

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

3.2871

0.2326

3.0577

Retrieval Success %?

7%21

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0039

Exit Success %?

0%39

Forechecking

0.7073

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0049

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$1.19M

cap hit

$2.12M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$0.9M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Brayden Pachal	60	Heavy Hitter	7 P · 39 GP	$1.19M	$2.12M	B+$0.9M	this player
Donovan Sebrango	57	Heavy Hitter	8 P · 42 GP	$0.78M	$1.51M	C+$0.7M	88%
Jeff Petry	57	Depth Defenseman	9 P · 67 GP	-	$1.51M	-	87%
Urho Vaakanainen	58	Depth Defenseman	6 P · 34 GP	$1.55M	$1.70M	C+$0.2M	86%
Lian Bichsel	60	Heavy Hitter	8 P · 50 GP	$0.92M	$2.12M	B+$1.2M	85%

Chemistry

Finishes from

assisters on Brayden’s goals

Creates for

goals Brayden assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

4 pts · 1 G · 3 A · 7 shots in last 10Heating up(+0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ WSH

0P

0G 0A

@ WSH 03-09

0G 0A · 1 shots · 18:08 TOI

@ NYR

0P

0G 0A

@ NYR 03-10

0G 0A · 1 shots · 17:28 TOI

@ NJD

1P

0G 1A

@ NJD 03-12

0G 1A · 1 shots · 16:05 TOI

vs VAN

0P

0G 0A

vs VAN 03-28

0G 0A · 1 shots · 14:57 TOI

@ COL

0P

0G 0A

@ COL 03-30

0G 0A · 1 shots · 13:19 TOI

@ VGK

0P

0G 0A

@ VGK 04-02

0G 0A · 0 shots · 14:43 TOI

@ COL

0P

0G 0A

@ COL 04-09

0G 0A · 1 shots · 11:59 TOI

vs UTA

3P

1G 2A

vs UTA 04-12

1G 2A · 1 shots · 14:47 TOI

vs COL

0P

0G 0A

vs COL 04-14

0G 0A · 0 shots · 16:37 TOI

vs LAK

0P

0G 0A

vs LAK 04-16

0G 0A · 0 shots · 16:08 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)132 events shown

Playmaking gravity: 10 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 40 blocks · 2 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2021-22	Vegas Golden Knights	2	0	0	0	-2
2022-23	Vegas Golden Knights	10	0	2	2	2
2023-24	Vegas Golden Knights	17	1	0	1	-2
2023-24	Calgary Flames	33	1	5	6	-1
2024-25	Calgary Flames	76	3	9	12	5
2025-26	Calgary Flames	39	1	6	7	-1
Career	2 teams	177	6	22	28	1