Regular season

Jordan Spence

Ottawa Senators · D · #10

Third-pair DSteady Blueliner?59 blocks across 73 games of regular duty

HT: 5'11"
WT: 188 lb
Age: 25
Shoots: R
From: Manly, AUS
Draft: 2019 LAK · R4 #95

70Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

6969pctl

7676pctl

6969pctl

2525pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.4276pctl

0.1073pctl

0.3377pctl

1.574pctl

+1585pctl

371pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

2.6%26pctl

2.0162pctl

0.1977pctl

Def Suppression?

0.1617pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.818pctl

2.585pctl

Blocks / 100 shifts?

3.22pctl

2.447pctl

0.2441pctl

1:1773pctl

0:119pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 45 GP tracked · 15h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

63.0%100pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

54.0%70pctl

O-zone deployment?

69%99pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.1 min33pctl

Support received?

16.6 min72pctl

D-zone deployment?

31%1pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0860pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.4230pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.4170pctl

1.02×71pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.14/gm82pctl

Pressure escape rate?

9.1%76pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1261 EV min

General Offense

4.4375

4.3381

Shot Setups/60?

1.3386

Chance Setups/60?

1.0082

Primary Contributions/60?

5.7679

Rebounds Created/60?

0.6286

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0568

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.3851

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.2474

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0034

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.1977

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.7658

Rush Offense/60?

7.1979

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.9092

0.5288

0.1068

Deflections/60?

0.1060

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.1489

Entries Finished/60?

0.2953

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.0532

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

2.2429

0.3839

1.8632

Retrieval Success %?

17%49

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0576

Exit Success %?

2%77

Forechecking

0.2936

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0048

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$1.50M

cap hit

$4.79M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A

Team-friendly deal (+$3.3M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Jordan Spence	70	Steady Blueliner	31 P · 73 GP	$1.50M	$4.79M	A+$3.3M	this player
Tony DeAngelo	68	Steady Blueliner	35 P · 76 GP	$1.75M	$4.20M	A+$2.4M	91%
Brent Burns	71	Steady Blueliner	35 P · 82 GP	$1.00M	$5.10M	A++$4.1M	88%
Charle-Edouard D'Astous	73	Steady Blueliner	29 P · 70 GP	$0.78M	$5.74M	A++$5.0M	82%
Nick Blankenburg	72	Steady Blueliner	24 P · 61 GP	-	$5.42M	-	82%

Chemistry

Top connection: Tim Stützle · 5 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Jordan’s goals

Creates for

goals Jordan assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

6 pts · 3 G · 3 A · 22 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ TBL

1P

1G 0A

@ TBL 03-28

1G 0A · 4 shots · 22:41 TOI

@ FLA

1P

1G 0A

@ FLA 03-31

1G 0A · 4 shots · 24:05 TOI

vs BUF

1P

0G 1A

vs BUF 04-02

0G 1A · 2 shots · 30:48 TOI

vs MIN

0P

0G 0A

vs MIN 04-04

0G 0A · 1 shots · 22:51 TOI

vs CAR

0P

0G 0A

vs CAR 04-05

0G 0A · 1 shots · 19:57 TOI

vs TBL

1P

1G 0A

vs TBL 04-07

1G 0A · 2 shots · 22:59 TOI

vs FLA

1P

0G 1A

vs FLA 04-09

0G 1A · 0 shots · 19:23 TOI

@ NYI

0P

0G 0A

@ NYI 04-11

0G 0A · 1 shots · 18:13 TOI

@ NJD

0P

0G 0A

@ NJD 04-12

0G 0A · 5 shots · 26:36 TOI

vs TOR

1P

0G 1A

vs TOR 04-15

0G 1A · 2 shots · 23:22 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)356 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 2 of 7 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 27 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 60 blocks · 10 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2021-22	Los Angeles Kings	24	2	6	8	0
2022-23	Los Angeles Kings	6	0	1	1	1
2023-24	Los Angeles Kings	71	2	22	24	5
2024-25	Los Angeles Kings	79	4	24	28	23
2025-26	Ottawa Senators	73	7	24	31	15
Career	2 teams	253	15	77	92	44