HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Arseny Gritsyuk

New Jersey Devils · RW · #81
Middle-six playerMiddle-Six Engine?Reliable minutes: 31 points and honest two-way play
HT
6'0"
WT
195 lb
Age
25
Shoots
L
From
Krasnoyarsk, RUS
Draft
2019 NJD · R5 #129
71Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
5353pctl
Playmaking?
6868pctl
Transition?
6666pctl
Defense?
5252pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.4758pctl
Goals / GP?
0.2054pctl
Assists / GP?
0.2757pctl
Shots / GP?
2.381pctl
Plus/Minus?
-346pctl
PP Points?
555pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
6.4%68pctl
ZEIS?
2.8380pctl
PSPL?
0.2589pctl
Def Suppression?
0.3236pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP
Shots / 60?
8.988pctl
Hits / 60?
3.542pctl
Take : Give?
0.5289pctl
Blocks / 60?
1.0714pctl
PP TOI / GP?
1:0239pctl
PK TOI / GP?
0:0022pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 32 GP tracked · 9h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.2 min34pctl
Support received?
17.9 min32pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 932 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.93M

cap hit

$4.78M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A

Team-friendly deal (+$3.9M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Arseny Gritsyuk71$0.93MA+$3.9Mthis player
Taylor Hall73$3.17MA+$2.2M86%
Gabe Perreault72$0.94MA++$4.1M86%
Marcus Johansson71--84%
Conor Garland71$4.95MC$0.2M83%

Chemistry

Top connection: Connor Brown · 7 goals together

Recent form · last 10 games

8 pts · 4 G · 4 A · 26 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs FLA

1P

1G 0A

vs TOR

2P

1G 1A

vs NYR

1P

0G 1A

vs DET

0P

0G 0A

vs CGY

0P

0G 0A

vs LAK

2P

1G 1A

vs BOS

0P

0G 0A

@ NYR

1P

1G 0A

@ WSH

0P

0G 0A

@ DAL

1P

0G 1A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)273 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 4 of 13 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 23 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 27 blocks · 4 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2025-26New Jersey Devils66131831-3
Career1 team66131831-3