Regular season

Dylan Holloway

St. Louis Blues · LW · #81

First-line playerTop-Six Threat?51 points in 59 games with strong all-around impact

HT: 6'1"
WT: 207 lb
Age: 24
Shoots: L
From: Calgary, CAN
Draft: 2020 EDM · R1 #14

85Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

7878pctl

8484pctl

8686pctl

7272pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.8687pctl

0.3787pctl

0.4986pctl

2.792pctl

+1389pctl

866pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

10.7%91pctl

4.3696pctl

0.3497pctl

Def Suppression?

0.8084pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

9.089pctl

7.273pctl

0.3152pctl

2.2871pctl

2:1572pctl

0:1758pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 37 GP tracked · 11h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

53.0%76pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

56.3%78pctl

O-zone deployment?

59%86pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.4 min52pctl

Support received?

18.0 min29pctl

D-zone deployment?

41%14pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0860pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.4883pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.5690pctl

1.04×82pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.24/gm42pctl

Pressure escape rate?

8.3%62pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 927 EV min

General Offense

7.7783

9.7175

Shot Setups/60?

1.1063

Chance Setups/60?

0.8460

Primary Contributions/60?

8.8783

Rebounds Created/60?

0.7883

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.1983

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.3928

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.3962

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0674

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0636

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.4252

Rush Offense/60?

10.0379

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.9171

1.1073

0.2674

Deflections/60?

0.9126

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0635

Entries Finished/60?

0.8460

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.3233

Entry → Chance %?

38%13

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

0.7121

0.1936

0.5223

Retrieval Success %?

27%56

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0034

Exit Success %?

0%31

Forechecking

4.2158

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0042

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$2.29M

cap hit

$9.36M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A+

Massive surplus value (+$7.1M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Dylan Holloway	85	Top-Six Threat	51 P · 59 GP	$2.29M	$9.36M	A++$7.1M	this player
Artturi Lehkonen	80	Middle-Six Engine	48 P · 70 GP	$4.50M	$7.61M	A+$3.1M	85%
William Nylander	91	Top-Six Threat	79 P · 65 GP	$11.50M	$12.02M	C+$0.5M	84%
Brandon Hagel	90	Dual Threat	74 P · 71 GP	$6.50M	$11.21M	A++$4.7M	83%
Valeri Nichushkin	79	Middle-Six Engine	49 P · 72 GP	$6.13M	$7.28M	B+$1.2M	83%

Chemistry

Top connection: Robert Thomas · 14 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Dylan’s goals

Creates for

goals Dylan assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

15 pts · 5 G · 10 A · 33 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ SJS

1P

0G 1A

@ SJS 03-30

0G 1A · 4 shots · 20:05 TOI

@ LAK

1P

0G 1A

@ LAK 04-01

0G 1A · 3 shots · 18:13 TOI

@ ANA

2P

2G 0A

@ ANA 04-03

2G 0A · 5 shots · 21:07 TOI

@ COL

3P

0G 3A

@ COL 04-05

0G 3A · 4 shots · 18:32 TOI

vs COL

0P

0G 0A

vs COL 04-07

0G 0A · 2 shots · 24:07 TOI

vs WPG

2P

1G 1A

vs WPG 04-09

1G 1A · 2 shots · 18:03 TOI

@ CHI

1P

0G 1A

@ CHI 04-11

0G 1A · 4 shots · 17:25 TOI

vs MIN

0P

0G 0A

vs MIN 04-13

0G 0A · 2 shots · 17:00 TOI

vs PIT

3P

2G 1A

vs PIT 04-14

2G 1A · 5 shots · 19:02 TOI

@ UTA

2P

0G 2A

@ UTA 04-16

0G 2A · 2 shots · 17:06 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)297 events shown

The office: the right circle - 6 of 22 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 25 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 56 blocks · 3 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2022-23	Edmonton Oilers	51	3	6	9	0
2023-24	Edmonton Oilers	38	6	3	9	-1
2024-25	St. Louis Blues	77	26	37	63	21
2025-26	St. Louis Blues	59	22	29	51	13
Career	2 teams	225	57	75	132	33