HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Justin Faulk

Detroit Red Wings · D · #72
Top-pair DOffensive QB?40 points from the blue line - runs the attack
HT
6'0"
WT
208 lb
Age
34
Shoots
R
From
South St. Paul, USA
Draft
2010 CAR · R2 #37
83Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
8686pctl
Playmaking?
6666pctl
Transition?
7878pctl
Defense?
7878pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.5186pctl
Goals / GP?
0.2196pctl
Assists / GP?
0.3170pctl
Shots / GP?
1.985pctl
Plus/Minus?
-823pctl
PP Points?
985pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
4.3%48pctl
ZEIS?
2.5675pctl
PSPL?
0.1459pctl
Def Suppression?
1.1596pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Blocks / GP?
1.6980pctl
Blocks / 60?
4.6163pctl
Hits / 60?
2.449pctl
Take : Give?
0.4290pctl
PP TOI / GP?
1:5683pctl
PK TOI / GP?
1:3050pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 45 GP tracked · 16h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.5 min54pctl
Support received?
16.2 min88pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1449 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$6.50M

cap hit

$9.28M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A

Team-friendly deal (+$2.8M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Justin Faulk83$6.50MA+$2.8Mthis player
Noah Dobson85$9.50MC+$0.6M89%
Rasmus Andersson83$4.55MA++$4.7M85%
Thomas Chabot85$8.00MA+$2.1M81%
Brandt Clarke84$0.86MA++$8.8M79%

Chemistry

Top connection: Robert Thomas · 5 goals together

Recent form · last 10 games

6 pts · 4 G · 2 A · 22 shots in last 10Heating up(+0.8 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs OTT

0P

0G 0A

@ BUF

0P

0G 0A

vs PHI

1P

0G 1A

@ PIT

0P

0G 0A

@ PHI

0P

0G 0A

vs CBJ

2P

2G 0A

vs PHI

0P

0G 0A

vs NJD

1P

1G 0A

@ TBL

1P

0G 1A

@ FLA

1P

1G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)465 events shown

The office: the left circle - 7 of 16 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 31 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 132 blocks · 14 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2011-12Carolina Hurricanes6681422-16
2012-13Carolina Hurricanes38510151
2013-14Carolina Hurricanes7652732-9
2014-15Carolina Hurricanes82153449-19
2015-16Carolina Hurricanes64162137-22
2016-17Carolina Hurricanes75172037-18
2017-18Carolina Hurricanes7682331-26
2018-19Carolina Hurricanes821124359
2019-20St. Louis Blues6951116-3
2020-21St. Louis Blues567182511
2021-22St. Louis Blues7616314741
2022-23St. Louis Blues82113950-4
2023-24St. Louis Blues6022830-2
2024-25St. Louis Blues7842832-9
2025-26St. Louis Blues61112132-3
2025-26Detroit Red Wings17538-5
Career3 teams1058146352498-74