Regular season

Robert Thomas

St. Louis Blues · C · #18

Top-six playerTop-Six Threat?64 points in 64 games with strong all-around impact

HT: 6'0"
WT: 207 lb
Age: 27
Shoots: R
From: Aurora, CAN
Draft: 2017 STL · R1 #20

83Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

7373pctl

7373pctl

6565pctl

4848pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

1.0093pctl

0.3989pctl

0.6193pctl

1.657pctl

+2296pctl

1478pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

8.3%81pctl

2.4172pctl

0.1667pctl

Def Suppression?

0.3845pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

52.5%70pctl

D-Zone FO %?

51.1%62pctl

16.391pctl

0.3243pctl

2:3473pctl

1:1860pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 42 GP tracked · 13h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

55.5%89pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

64.1%95pctl

O-zone deployment?

54%71pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.9 min87pctl

Support received?

18.5 min16pctl

D-zone deployment?

46%29pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0319pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.0564pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.3252pctl

1.05×84pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.27/gm31pctl

Pressure escape rate?

6.5%19pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 969 EV min

General Offense

4.5224

7.1238

Shot Setups/60?

0.7433

Chance Setups/60?

0.6236

Primary Contributions/60?

5.2624

Rebounds Created/60?

0.4347

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0028

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.5041

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.3151

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0036

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0635

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.2440

Rush Offense/60?

5.7020

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.6849

0.6839

0.0628

Deflections/60?

0.5012

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.4387

Entries Finished/60?

0.6240

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.3740

Entry → Chance %?

60%44

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.9284

0.6284

1.3079

Retrieval Success %?

32%68

Exit Involvements/60?

0.1988

Exit Success %?

10%81

Forechecking

0.9915

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0042

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$8.13M

cap hit

$8.65M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.5M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Robert Thomas	83	Top-Six Threat	64 P · 64 GP	$8.13M	$8.65M	C+$0.5M	this player
Gabriel Vilardi	81	Middle-Six Engine	69 P · 82 GP	$7.50M	$7.95M	C+$0.5M	87%
Sidney Crosby	87	Top-Six Threat	74 P · 68 GP	$8.70M	$10.09M	B+$1.4M	86%
Vincent Trocheck	80	Faceoff General	53 P · 67 GP	$5.63M	$7.61M	B+$2.0M	84%
John Tavares	84	Sniper	71 P · 82 GP	$4.38M	$9.00M	A++$4.6M	83%

Chemistry

Top connection: Jimmy Snuggerud · 14 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Robert’s goals

Creates for

goals Robert assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

16 pts · 9 G · 7 A · 20 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ SJS

1P

0G 1A

@ SJS 03-30

0G 1A · 1 shots · 20:52 TOI

@ LAK

1P

1G 0A

@ LAK 04-01

1G 0A · 4 shots · 20:21 TOI

@ ANA

3P

1G 2A

@ ANA 04-03

1G 2A · 1 shots · 18:20 TOI

@ COL

3P

3G 0A

@ COL 04-05

3G 0A · 5 shots · 20:13 TOI

vs COL

1P

1G 0A

vs COL 04-07

1G 0A · 1 shots · 24:04 TOI

vs WPG

1P

0G 1A

vs WPG 04-09

0G 1A · 1 shots · 17:41 TOI

@ CHI

0P

0G 0A

@ CHI 04-11

0G 0A · 2 shots · 18:29 TOI

vs MIN

1P

0G 1A

vs MIN 04-13

0G 1A · 1 shots · 18:01 TOI

vs PIT

2P

0G 2A

vs PIT 04-14

0G 2A · 1 shots · 18:54 TOI

@ UTA

3P

3G 0A

@ UTA 04-16

3G 0A · 3 shots · 16:54 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)458 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 11 of 25 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 15 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 42 blocks · 13 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2018-19	St. Louis Blues	70	9	24	33	-2
2019-20	St. Louis Blues	66	10	32	42	9
2020-21	St. Louis Blues	33	3	9	12	1
2021-22	St. Louis Blues	72	20	57	77	17
2022-23	St. Louis Blues	73	18	47	65	-8
2023-24	St. Louis Blues	82	26	60	86	9
2024-25	St. Louis Blues	70	21	60	81	20
2025-26	St. Louis Blues	64	25	39	64	22
Career	1 team	530	132	328	460	68