HockeyAlpha
Regular season

JJ Peterka

Boston Bruins · RW · #77
Middle-six playerMiddle-Six Engine?Reliable minutes: 47 points and honest two-way play
HT
6'0"
WT
189 lb
Age
24
Shoots
L
From
Munich, DEU
Draft
2020 BUF · R2 #34
74Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
6767pctl
Playmaking?
6464pctl
Transition?
7676pctl
Defense?
1414pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.5767pctl
Goals / GP?
0.3079pctl
Assists / GP?
0.2757pctl
Shots / GP?
1.970pctl
Plus/Minus?
+677pctl
PP Points?
555pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
6.8%72pctl
ZEIS?
3.2087pctl
PSPL?
0.2080pctl
Def Suppression?
0.027pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP
Shots / 60?
7.364pctl
Hits / 60?
0.74pctl
Take : Give?
0.2223pctl
Blocks / 60?
0.865pctl
PP TOI / GP?
1:5763pctl
PK TOI / GP?
0:0132pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 48 GP tracked · 13h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.5 min54pctl
Support received?
18.1 min27pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1150 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$7.70M

cap hit

$5.68M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

D

Paying a premium ($2.0M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
JJ Peterka74$7.70MD$2.0Mthis player
Matvei Michkov75$0.95MA++$5.0M89%
Ryan Leonard75$0.95MA++$5.0M88%
Jack Quinn77$3.38MA+$3.2M87%
Jonathan Marchessault71$5.50MC$0.7M86%

Recent form · last 10 games

5 pts · 3 G · 2 A · 23 shots in last 10Steady(-0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs WSH

0P

0G 0A

@ LAK

1P

0G 1A

@ SEA

1P

1G 0A

@ VAN

0P

0G 0A

vs EDM

1P

1G 0A

vs NSH

0P

0G 0A

vs CAR

0P

0G 0A

@ CGY

0P

0G 0A

vs WPG

1P

1G 0A

vs STL

1P

0G 1A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)341 events shown

The office: the right circle - 7 of 25 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 26 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 23 blocks · 7 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2021-22Buffalo Sabres20000
2022-23Buffalo Sabres77122032-15
2023-24Buffalo Sabres8228225010
2024-25Buffalo Sabres77274168-1
2025-26Utah Mammoth822522476
Career2 teams320921051970