Regular season

Ryan Leonard

Washington Capitals · RW · #9

Middle-six playerMiddle-Six Engine?Reliable minutes: 45 points and honest two-way play

HT: 6'1"
WT: 205 lb
Age: 21
Shoots: R
From: Northampton, USA
Draft: 2023 WSH · R1 #8

75Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

6666pctl

7575pctl

7575pctl

1313pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.6069pctl

0.2772pctl

0.3368pctl

2.073pctl

+266pctl

1478pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

7.1%74pctl

3.1585pctl

0.2892pctl

Def Suppression?

0.006pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

8.582pctl

6.970pctl

0.1915pctl

1.3829pctl

2:2175pctl

0:0020pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 44 GP tracked · 10h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

40.6%4pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

59.6%89pctl

O-zone deployment?

38%13pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.4 min46pctl

Support received?

17.7 min36pctl

D-zone deployment?

62%87pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0537pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.0263pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.2130pctl

0.96×32pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.16/gm76pctl

Pressure escape rate?

6.8%25pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 905 EV min

General Offense

7.5681

9.0970

Shot Setups/60?

1.5986

Chance Setups/60?

1.3988

Primary Contributions/60?

9.1585

Rebounds Created/60?

0.8083

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.1375

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.9982

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.4063

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0037

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.4088

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

2.5287

Rush Offense/60?

11.8086

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.4022

0.3315

0.1346

Deflections/60?

1.0633

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0736

Entries Finished/60?

1.1378

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.6675

Entry → Chance %?

59%41

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.5375

0.0718

1.4684

Retrieval Success %?

4%13

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0034

Exit Success %?

0%31

Forechecking

5.3767

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0042

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.95M

cap hit

$5.99M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A+

Massive surplus value (+$5.0M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Ryan Leonard	75	Middle-Six Engine	45 P · 75 GP	$0.95M	$5.99M	A++$5.0M	this player
Jack Quinn	77	Middle-Six Engine	51 P · 82 GP	$3.38M	$6.62M	A+$3.2M	93%
Matvei Michkov	75	Middle-Six Engine	51 P · 81 GP	$0.95M	$5.99M	A++$5.0M	90%
JJ Peterka	74	Middle-Six Engine	47 P · 82 GP	$7.70M	$5.68M	D−$2.0M	88%
Jonathan Marchessault	71	Middle-Six Engine	31 P · 62 GP	$5.50M	$4.78M	C−$0.7M	83%

Chemistry

Top connection: Justin Sourdif · 7 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Ryan’s goals

Creates for

goals Ryan assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

9 pts · 5 G · 4 A · 28 shots in last 10Steady(-0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ UTA

0P

0G 0A

@ UTA 03-26

0G 0A · 3 shots · 15:22 TOI

@ VGK

1P

0G 1A

@ VGK 03-28

0G 1A · 4 shots · 15:17 TOI

vs PHI

2P

1G 1A

vs PHI 03-31

1G 1A · 2 shots · 11:29 TOI

@ NJD

1P

0G 1A

@ NJD 04-02

0G 1A · 4 shots · 13:46 TOI

vs BUF

1P

1G 0A

vs BUF 04-04

1G 0A · 2 shots · 12:55 TOI

@ NYR

0P

0G 0A

@ NYR 04-05

0G 0A · 2 shots · 15:58 TOI

@ TOR

1P

1G 0A

@ TOR 04-08

1G 0A · 4 shots · 13:22 TOI

@ PIT

2P

2G 0A

@ PIT 04-11

2G 0A · 3 shots · 14:00 TOI

vs PIT

1P

0G 1A

vs PIT 04-12

0G 1A · 2 shots · 15:40 TOI

@ CBJ

0P

0G 0A

@ CBJ 04-14

0G 0A · 2 shots · 16:05 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)327 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 6 of 20 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 34 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 30 blocks · 2 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2024-25	Washington Capitals	9	1	0	1	-4
2025-26	Washington Capitals	75	20	25	45	2
Career	1 team	84	21	25	46	-2