Regular season

Tyson Kozak

Buffalo Sabres · C · #48

Depth playerDepth Forward?Energy role: 120 hits (13.9/60)

HT: 5'11"
WT: 185 lb
Age: 23
Shoots: L
From: Souris, CAN
Draft: 2021 BUF · R7 #193

53Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

1313pctl

2929pctl

1414pctl

7878pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.135pctl

0.046pctl

0.0910pctl

0.74pctl

-154pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

2%19pctl

0.7613pctl

0.1042pctl

Def Suppression?

0.7883pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

48.3%44pctl

D-Zone FO %?

44.8%33pctl

8.456pctl

0.4172pctl

0:0316pctl

0:5652pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 26 GP tracked · 4h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

40.0%3pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

45.5%31pctl

O-zone deployment?

22%1pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.0 min24pctl

Support received?

16.9 min63pctl

D-zone deployment?

78%99pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0214pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.4832pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.2641pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.12/gm89pctl

Pressure escape rate?

5.5%8pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 473 EV min

General Offense

3.8021

4.6919

Shot Setups/60?

0.6330

Chance Setups/60?

0.6339

Primary Contributions/60?

4.4421

Rebounds Created/60?

0.2528

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0031

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.1319

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.2541

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0039

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.2574

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

0.1317

Rush Offense/60?

5.3222

Shots off HD Setups/60?

1.0175

0.6337

0.2569

Deflections/60?

0.7624

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.6383

Entries Finished/60?

0.7653

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.5157

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.5271

0.3863

1.1469

Retrieval Success %?

25%49

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0037

Exit Success %?

0%34

Forechecking

9.8977

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.1382

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.82M

cap hit

$0.92M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.1M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Tyson Kozak	53	Depth Forward	6 P · 46 GP	$0.82M	$0.92M	C+$0.1M	this player
Oskar Bäck	53	Depth Forward	12 P · 72 GP	$0.82M	$0.92M	C+$0.1M	90%
Radek Faksa	57	Depth Forward	17 P · 58 GP	$2.00M	$1.46M	C−$0.5M	88%
Luke Glendening	50	Depth Forward	9 P · 70 GP	-	$0.86M	-	88%
Josh Samanski	55	Depth Forward	4 P · 24 GP	$0.97M	$1.16M	C+$0.2M	87%

Chemistry

Finishes from

assisters on Tyson’s goals

Creates for

goals Tyson assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

2 pts · 0 G · 2 A · 5 shots in last 10Heating up(+0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ FLA

0P

0G 0A

@ FLA 02-27

0G 0A · 1 shots · 10:45 TOI

@ TBL

0P

0G 0A

@ TBL 02-28

0G 0A · 0 shots · 13:04 TOI

vs VGK

0P

0G 0A

vs VGK 03-03

0G 0A · 0 shots · 8:34 TOI

@ VGK

0P

0G 0A

@ VGK 03-17

0G 0A · 1 shots · 11:10 TOI

vs SEA

0P

0G 0A

vs SEA 03-28

0G 0A · 0 shots · 7:51 TOI

@ WSH

0P

0G 0A

@ WSH 04-04

0G 0A · 0 shots · 12:15 TOI

@ NYR

0P

0G 0A

@ NYR 04-08

0G 0A · 0 shots · 10:50 TOI

vs CBJ

1P

0G 1A

vs CBJ 04-09

0G 1A · 2 shots · 9:38 TOI

@ CHI

0P

0G 0A

@ CHI 04-13

0G 0A · 1 shots · 10:49 TOI

vs DAL

1P

0G 1A

vs DAL 04-15

0G 1A · 0 shots · 13:34 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)174 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 2 of 2 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 5 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 45 blocks · 4 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2024-25	Buffalo Sabres	21	3	2	5	-2
2025-26	Buffalo Sabres	46	2	4	6	-1
Career	1 team	67	5	6	11	-3