Regular season

Rasmus Dahlin

Buffalo Sabres · D · #26

Top-pair DOffensive QB?74 points from the blue line - runs the attack

HT: 6'3"
WT: 204 lb
Age: 26
Shoots: L
From: Lidkoping, SWE
Draft: 2018 BUF · R1 #1

82Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

9292pctl

9191pctl

8989pctl

3131pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.9698pctl

0.2597pctl

0.7197pctl

2.596pctl

+1890pctl

2295pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

7.1%74pctl

3.5090pctl

0.2993pctl

Def Suppression?

0.2324pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

1.0325pctl

2.544pctl

Blocks / 100 shifts?

3.78pctl

2.142pctl

0.2858pctl

3:2898pctl

0:4828pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 49 GP tracked · 20h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

52.3%71pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

65.1%96pctl

O-zone deployment?

54%71pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.5 min58pctl

Support received?

17.1 min57pctl

D-zone deployment?

46%29pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0856pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.6339pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.2946pctl

0.93×20pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.17/gm71pctl

Pressure escape rate?

9.0%75pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1533 EV min

General Offense

5.1384

5.0188

Shot Setups/60?

0.9467

Chance Setups/60?

0.8272

Primary Contributions/60?

6.0683

Rebounds Created/60?

0.4368

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0030

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.3953

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.1651

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0881

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.3592

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.9268

Rush Offense/60?

7.4082

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.3156

0.3166

0.1275

Deflections/60?

0.2788

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0457

Entries Finished/60?

0.2031

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.0840

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

2.9365

0.5972

2.3559

Retrieval Success %?

20%63

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0470

Exit Success %?

1%69

Forechecking

0.2734

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0048

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$11.00M

cap hit

$8.90M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

D

Paying a premium (−$2.1M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Rasmus Dahlin	82	Offensive QB	74 P · 77 GP	$11.00M	$8.90M	D−$2.1M	this player
Evan Bouchard	83	Offensive QB	95 P · 82 GP	$10.50M	$9.28M	D−$1.2M	96%
Zach Werenski	83	Offensive QB	81 P · 75 GP	$9.58M	$9.28M	C−$0.3M	93%
Erik Karlsson	81	Offensive QB	66 P · 75 GP	$11.50M	$8.53M	F−$3.0M	92%
Darren Raddysh	80	Offensive QB	70 P · 73 GP	$0.97M	$8.16M	A++$7.2M	91%

Chemistry

Top connection: Tage Thompson · 15 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Rasmus’s goals

Creates for

goals Rasmus assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

9 pts · 4 G · 5 A · 23 shots in last 10Heating up(+1.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs BOS

0P

0G 0A

vs BOS 03-25

0G 0A · 3 shots · 23:45 TOI

vs DET

1P

1G 0A

vs DET 03-27

1G 0A · 2 shots · 23:30 TOI

vs SEA

1P

1G 0A

vs SEA 03-28

1G 0A · 4 shots · 25:10 TOI

vs NYI

0P

0G 0A

vs NYI 03-31

0G 0A · 3 shots · 23:14 TOI

@ OTT

0P

0G 0A

@ OTT 04-02

0G 0A · 2 shots · 22:37 TOI

@ WSH

2P

1G 1A

@ WSH 04-04

1G 1A · 3 shots · 22:28 TOI

vs TBL

1P

0G 1A

vs TBL 04-06

0G 1A · 1 shots · 23:01 TOI

@ NYR

1P

0G 1A

@ NYR 04-08

0G 1A · 2 shots · 24:30 TOI

vs CBJ

1P

1G 0A

vs CBJ 04-09

1G 0A · 3 shots · 19:47 TOI

@ CHI

2P

0G 2A

@ CHI 04-13

0G 2A · 0 shots · 20:59 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)551 events shown

The office: the high slot - 5 of 19 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 33 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 82 blocks · 21 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2018-19	Buffalo Sabres	82	9	35	44	-13
2019-20	Buffalo Sabres	59	4	36	40	-7
2020-21	Buffalo Sabres	56	5	18	23	-36
2021-22	Buffalo Sabres	80	13	40	53	-22
2022-23	Buffalo Sabres	78	15	58	73	12
2023-24	Buffalo Sabres	81	20	39	59	-3
2024-25	Buffalo Sabres	73	17	51	68	11
2025-26	Buffalo Sabres	77	19	55	74	18
Career	1 team	586	102	332	434	-40