Regular season

Pavel Mintyukov

Anaheim Ducks · D · #98

Second-pair DSteady Blueliner?112 blocks across 73 games of regular duty

HT: 6'1"
WT: 207 lb
Age: 22
Shoots: L
From: Moscow, RUS
Draft: 2022 ANA · R1 #10

74Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

7373pctl

5252pctl

5757pctl

6565pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.3057pctl

0.1178pctl

0.1942pctl

1.148pctl

-337pctl

267pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

2.8%29pctl

1.4741pctl

0.1355pctl

Def Suppression?

0.8587pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

1.5369pctl

4.9971pctl

Blocks / 100 shifts?

6.364pctl

1.733pctl

0.2757pctl

0:4765pctl

2:1473pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 43 GP tracked · 13h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

47.1%28pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

47.4%40pctl

O-zone deployment?

50%50pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.2 min38pctl

Support received?

16.5 min78pctl

D-zone deployment?

50%50pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.1071pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.4230pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.2538pctl

0.97×40pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.41/gm5pctl

Pressure escape rate?

9.9%87pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1124 EV min

General Offense

3.6353

4.4382

Shot Setups/60?

0.9164

Chance Setups/60?

0.6448

Primary Contributions/60?

4.5454

Rebounds Created/60?

0.4366

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0571

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.4869

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.2166

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0573

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.2180

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.8162

Rush Offense/60?

5.7152

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.5382

0.2756

0.1171

Deflections/60?

0.3790

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0571

Entries Finished/60?

0.4376

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.2785

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

2.3536

0.3739

1.9739

Retrieval Success %?

16%44

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0577

Exit Success %?

2%78

Forechecking

0.4356

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0048

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.92M

cap hit

$6.07M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A+

Massive surplus value (+$5.2M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Pavel Mintyukov	74	Steady Blueliner	22 P · 73 GP	$0.92M	$6.07M	A++$5.2M	this player
Jake Walman	77	Steady Blueliner	20 P · 53 GP	$3.40M	$7.09M	A+$3.7M	86%
Jared Spurgeon	73	Steady Blueliner	22 P · 79 GP	$7.58M	$5.74M	D−$1.8M	84%
Mattias Ekholm	76	Steady Blueliner	41 P · 82 GP	$6.25M	$6.75M	C+$0.5M	83%
Uvis Balinskis	70	Steady Blueliner	15 P · 54 GP	$0.85M	$4.79M	A+$3.9M	82%

Chemistry

Top connection: Ryan Poehling · 4 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Pavel’s goals

Creates for

goals Pavel assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

3 pts · 0 G · 3 A · 12 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ UTA

1P

0G 1A

@ UTA 03-20

0G 1A · 1 shots · 22:51 TOI

vs BUF

0P

0G 0A

vs BUF 03-22

0G 0A · 1 shots · 21:20 TOI

@ VAN

0P

0G 0A

@ VAN 03-24

0G 0A · 1 shots · 22:06 TOI

@ CGY

0P

0G 0A

@ CGY 03-26

0G 0A · 2 shots · 17:44 TOI

vs TOR

0P

0G 0A

vs TOR 03-30

0G 0A · 2 shots · 18:20 TOI

vs NSH

0P

0G 0A

vs NSH 04-07

0G 0A · 2 shots · 18:31 TOI

vs SJS

2P

0G 2A

vs SJS 04-09

0G 2A · 2 shots · 18:15 TOI

vs VAN

0P

0G 0A

vs VAN 04-12

0G 0A · 0 shots · 20:52 TOI

@ MIN

0P

0G 0A

@ MIN 04-14

0G 0A · 1 shots · 17:44 TOI

@ NSH

0P

0G 0A

@ NSH 04-16

0G 0A · 0 shots · 15:47 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)335 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 4 of 8 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 21 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 113 blocks · 8 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2023-24	Anaheim Ducks	63	4	24	28	-20
2024-25	Anaheim Ducks	68	5	14	19	-4
2025-26	Anaheim Ducks	73	8	14	22	-3
Career	1 team	204	17	52	69	-27