HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Mattias Ekholm

Edmonton Oilers · D · #14
Second-pair DSteady Blueliner?125 blocks across 82 games of regular duty
HT
6'5"
WT
225 lb
Age
36
Shoots
L
From
Borlange, SWE
Draft
2009 NSH · R4 #102
76Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
7171pctl
Playmaking?
6464pctl
Transition?
6666pctl
Defense?
5555pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.5084pctl
Goals / GP?
0.0762pctl
Assists / GP?
0.4389pctl
Shots / GP?
1.679pctl
Plus/Minus?
+3296pctl
PP Points?
371pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
3.4%36pctl
ZEIS?
1.6948pctl
PSPL?
0.0937pctl
Def Suppression?
0.6876pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Blocks / GP?
1.5268pctl
Blocks / 60?
4.4460pctl
Hits / 60?
2.345pctl
Take : Give?
0.2545pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:3060pctl
PK TOI / GP?
1:4461pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 50 GP tracked · 17h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
18.0 min94pctl
Support received?
19.1 min5pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1505 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$6.25M

cap hit

$6.75M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.5M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Mattias Ekholm76$6.25MC+$0.5Mthis player
Jake Walman77$3.40MA+$3.7M89%
Damon Severson76$6.25MC+$0.5M87%
Jacob Trouba79$8.00MC$0.2M86%
Sean Durzi76$6.00MC+$0.7M85%

Chemistry

Top connection: Connor McDavid · 11 goals together

Recent form · last 10 games

3 pts · 0 G · 3 A · 8 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ VGK

1P

0G 1A

vs ANA

0P

0G 0A

vs SEA

0P

0G 0A

vs CHI

0P

0G 0A

vs VGK

0P

0G 0A

@ UTA

1P

0G 1A

@ SJS

1P

0G 1A

@ LAK

0P

0G 0A

vs COL

0P

0G 0A

vs VAN

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)458 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 3 of 6 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 24 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 125 blocks · 13 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2011-12Nashville Predators2000-1
2012-13Nashville Predators1000-1
2013-14Nashville Predators62189-8
2014-15Nashville Predators807111812
2015-16Nashville Predators828273514
2016-17Nashville Predators82320234
2017-18Nashville Predators8110243425
2018-19Nashville Predators808364427
2019-20Nashville Predators6882533-1
2020-21Nashville Predators486172319
2021-22Nashville Predators766253114
2022-23Nashville Predators57513180
2022-23Edmonton Oilers214101428
2023-24Edmonton Oilers7911344544
2024-25Edmonton Oilers659243311
2025-26Edmonton Oilers826354132
Career2 teams96692309401219