Regular season

Samuel Honzek

Calgary Flames · LW · #29

Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?4 points in 18 games in a supporting role

HT: 6'4"
WT: 186 lb
Age: 21
Shoots: L
From: Trencin, SVK
Draft: 2023 CGY · R1 #16

61Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

3939pctl

4040pctl

4040pctl

3535pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.2218pctl

0.1127pctl

0.1117pctl

1.236pctl

+163pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

5.6%62pctl

1.5042pctl

0.1355pctl

Def Suppression?

0.3134pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

5.935pctl

9.480pctl

0.112pctl

1.6241pctl

0:0416pctl

1:2083pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 9 GP tracked · 2h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

53.5%80pctl

O-zone deployment?

35%9pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.9 min85pctl

Support received?

18.9 min9pctl

D-zone deployment?

65%91pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0640pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.5435pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.129pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.12/gm89pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 197 EV min

General Offense

6.3958

7.0042

Shot Setups/60?

0.6136

Chance Setups/60?

0.6142

Primary Contributions/60?

7.0055

Rebounds Created/60?

0.3038

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0037

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.6153

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.0028

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0042

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0032

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.5254

Rush Offense/60?

9.4463

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.0027

0.3030

0.0032

Deflections/60?

2.1368

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0032

Entries Finished/60?

0.6144

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.6161

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

0.3028

0.0029

0.3029

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0041

Forechecking

8.5367

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0045

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.89M

cap hit

$2.24M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$1.4M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Samuel Honzek	61	Depth Forward	4 P · 18 GP	$0.89M	$2.24M	B+$1.4M	this player
Rutger McGroarty	61	Depth Forward	6 P · 24 GP	$0.95M	$2.24M	B+$1.3M	94%
Alexander Holtz	61	Depth Forward	9 P · 28 GP	$0.84M	$2.24M	B+$1.4M	92%
Eric Robinson	60	Depth Forward	18 P · 67 GP	$1.70M	$2.03M	C+$0.3M	89%
Elmer Soderblom	57	Depth Forward	13 P · 59 GP	$1.13M	$1.46M	C+$0.3M	88%

Chemistry

Top connection: Mikael Backlund · 3 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Samuel’s goals

Mikael Backlund22 primary

Creates for

goals Samuel assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

3 pts · 2 G · 1 A · 10 shots in last 10Steady(-0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ TOR

1P

1G 0A

@ TOR 10-28

1G 0A · 1 shots · 11:41 TOI

@ OTT

0P

0G 0A

@ OTT 10-30

0G 0A · 1 shots · 11:10 TOI

@ NSH

0P

0G 0A

@ NSH 11-01

0G 0A · 4 shots · 11:54 TOI

@ PHI

0P

0G 0A

@ PHI 11-02

0G 0A · 0 shots · 14:44 TOI

vs CBJ

1P

0G 1A

vs CBJ 11-05

0G 1A · 2 shots · 15:09 TOI

vs CHI

0P

0G 0A

vs CHI 11-07

0G 0A · 0 shots · 12:42 TOI

@ MIN

0P

0G 0A

@ MIN 11-09

0G 0A · 1 shots · 12:08 TOI

@ STL

0P

0G 0A

@ STL 11-11

0G 0A · 0 shots · 11:23 TOI

vs SJS

1P

1G 0A

vs SJS 11-13

1G 0A · 1 shots · 15:18 TOI

vs WPG

0P

0G 0A

vs WPG 11-15

0G 0A · 0 shots · 7:05 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)42 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 1 of 2 goals live there

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2024-25	Calgary Flames	5	0	0	0	-1
2025-26	Calgary Flames	18	2	2	4	1
Career	1 team	23	2	2	4	0