Regular season

Rutger McGroarty

Pittsburgh Penguins · RW · #2

Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?6 points in 24 games in a supporting role

HT: 6'1"
WT: 212 lb
Age: 22
Shoots: L
From: Lincoln, USA
Draft: 2022 WPG · R1 #14

61Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

4141pctl

3636pctl

3939pctl

2929pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.2525pctl

0.1331pctl

0.1321pctl

1.555pctl

-346pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

5%56pctl

1.3836pctl

0.1042pctl

Def Suppression?

0.1515pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

7.773pctl

5.461pctl

0.2740pctl

1.6745pctl

0:1021pctl

0:1557pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 21 GP tracked · 4h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

52.0%68pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

38.1%11pctl

O-zone deployment?

59%86pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

16.6 min6pctl

Support received?

16.4 min81pctl

D-zone deployment?

41%14pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.2199pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.8150pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.4676pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.08/gm96pctl

Pressure escape rate?

7.5%42pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 277 EV min

General Offense

7.8073

8.6659

Shot Setups/60?

1.3068

Chance Setups/60?

1.3075

Primary Contributions/60?

9.0973

Rebounds Created/60?

0.8774

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0035

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.8768

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.2238

Deflection Setups/60?

0.2276

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0029

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

0.6526

Rush Offense/60?

9.3165

Shots off HD Setups/60?

1.3075

0.8755

0.4375

Deflections/60?

1.3047

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0029

Entries Finished/60?

1.3073

Entries w/ Chance/60?

1.0876

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.9574

0.4364

1.5274

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0039

Forechecking

3.4651

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0045

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.95M

cap hit

$2.24M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$1.3M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Rutger McGroarty	61	Depth Forward	6 P · 24 GP	$0.95M	$2.24M	B+$1.3M	this player
Alexander Holtz	61	Depth Forward	9 P · 28 GP	$0.84M	$2.24M	B+$1.4M	92%
Elmer Soderblom	57	Depth Forward	13 P · 59 GP	$1.13M	$1.46M	C+$0.3M	89%
Eric Robinson	60	Depth Forward	18 P · 67 GP	$1.70M	$2.03M	C+$0.3M	89%
Jani Nyman	60	Depth Forward	7 P · 28 GP	$0.89M	$2.03M	B+$1.1M	88%

Chemistry

Finishes from

assisters on Rutger’s goals

Creates for

goals Rutger assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

3 pts · 1 G · 2 A · 10 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs DET

0P

0G 0A

vs DET 01-01

0G 0A · 0 shots · 8:44 TOI

@ DET

0P

0G 0A

@ DET 01-03

0G 0A · 1 shots · 12:25 TOI

vs CHI

0P

0G 0A

vs CHI 01-29

0G 0A · 5 shots · 10:36 TOI

vs NYR

1P

0G 1A

vs NYR 01-31

0G 1A · 1 shots · 9:31 TOI

vs OTT

0P

0G 0A

vs OTT 02-02

0G 0A · 0 shots · 10:37 TOI

@ BUF

1P

0G 1A

@ BUF 02-05

0G 1A · 0 shots · 10:01 TOI

vs DAL

0P

0G 0A

vs DAL 03-28

0G 0A · 0 shots · 10:41 TOI

vs WSH

0P

0G 0A

vs WSH 04-11

0G 0A · 0 shots · 14:49 TOI

@ WSH

0P

0G 0A

@ WSH 04-12

0G 0A · 2 shots · 9:55 TOI

@ STL

1P

1G 0A

@ STL 04-14

1G 0A · 1 shots · 15:21 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)63 events shown

The office: the high slot - 2 of 3 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 6 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 11 blocks · 2 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2024-25	Pittsburgh Penguins	8	1	2	3	0
2025-26	Pittsburgh Penguins	24	3	3	6	-3
Career	1 team	32	4	5	9	-3