Regular season

Elmer Soderblom

Pittsburgh Penguins · LW · #25

Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?Energy role: 99 hits (9.1/60)

HT: 6'8"
WT: 252 lb
Age: 25
Shoots: L
From: Gothenburg, SWE
Draft: 2019 DET · R6 #159

57Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

3131pctl

3232pctl

4040pctl

3030pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.2218pctl

0.1228pctl

0.1014pctl

1.232pctl

-154pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

4.2%46pctl

1.7550pctl

0.1147pctl

Def Suppression?

0.2223pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

6.342pctl

9.180pctl

0.2846pctl

1.6442pctl

0:1022pctl

0:0449pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 41 GP tracked · 8h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

47.2%29pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

48.6%45pctl

O-zone deployment?

33%7pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

16.7 min8pctl

Support received?

16.4 min80pctl

D-zone deployment?

67%93pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0964pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.9960pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.3457pctl

0.90×11pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.21/gm53pctl

Pressure escape rate?

7.0%32pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 641 EV min

General Offense

6.4664

9.2770

Shot Setups/60?

1.3176

Chance Setups/60?

1.1277

Primary Contributions/60?

7.7767

Rebounds Created/60?

0.4751

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0030

Center-Lane Setups/60?

1.0381

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.2847

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0038

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0944

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.7867

Rush Offense/60?

9.4671

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.9472

1.2277

0.3781

Deflections/60?

1.9775

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.1965

Entries Finished/60?

0.7551

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.4750

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.3161

0.2851

1.0364

Retrieval Success %?

21%41

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0973

Exit Success %?

7%71

Forechecking

7.6875

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0043

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$1.13M

cap hit

$1.46M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.3M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Elmer Soderblom	57	Depth Forward	13 P · 59 GP	$1.13M	$1.46M	C+$0.3M	this player
Alexander Holtz	61	Depth Forward	9 P · 28 GP	$0.84M	$2.24M	B+$1.4M	91%
Rutger McGroarty	61	Depth Forward	6 P · 24 GP	$0.95M	$2.24M	B+$1.3M	89%
Paul Cotter	54	Depth Forward	15 P · 79 GP	$0.78M	$1.03M	C+$0.3M	89%
Miles Wood	57	Depth Forward	14 P · 54 GP	$2.50M	$1.46M	D−$1.0M	88%

Chemistry

Top connection: Noel Acciari · 6 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Elmer’s goals

Creates for

goals Elmer assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

8 pts · 4 G · 4 A · 12 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs DAL

1P

0G 1A

vs DAL 03-28

0G 1A · 0 shots · 8:48 TOI

@ NYI

1P

1G 0A

@ NYI 03-30

1G 0A · 2 shots · 11:32 TOI

vs DET

1P

0G 1A

vs DET 03-31

0G 1A · 2 shots · 14:42 TOI

@ TBL

0P

0G 0A

@ TBL 04-02

0G 0A · 1 shots · 10:41 TOI

vs FLA

2P

1G 1A

vs FLA 04-04

1G 1A · 3 shots · 13:18 TOI

vs FLA

1P

1G 0A

vs FLA 04-05

1G 0A · 1 shots · 10:18 TOI

@ NJD

0P

0G 0A

@ NJD 04-09

0G 0A · 0 shots · 11:32 TOI

vs WSH

1P

0G 1A

vs WSH 04-11

0G 1A · 0 shots · 15:25 TOI

@ WSH

0P

0G 0A

@ WSH 04-12

0G 0A · 2 shots · 13:22 TOI

@ STL

1P

1G 0A

@ STL 04-14

1G 0A · 1 shots · 13:43 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)146 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 5 of 7 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 12 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 25 blocks · 3 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2022-23	Detroit Red Wings	21	5	3	8	0
2024-25	Detroit Red Wings	26	4	7	11	2
2025-26	Detroit Red Wings	39	2	1	3	-4
2025-26	Pittsburgh Penguins	20	5	5	10	3
Career	2 teams	106	16	16	32	1