HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Daniil But

Utah Mammoth · LW · #19
Middle-six playerDepth Forward?7 points in 29 games in a supporting role
HT
6'5"
WT
203 lb
Age
21
Shoots
R
From
Yaroslavl, RUS
Draft
2023 ARI · R1 #12
65Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
4444pctl
Playmaking?
5858pctl
Transition?
5858pctl
Defense?
6262pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.2423pctl
Goals / GP?
0.1024pctl
Assists / GP?
0.1423pctl
Shots / GP?
1.552pctl
Plus/Minus?
+163pctl
PP Points?
346pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
6.6%70pctl
ZEIS?
2.3671pctl
PSPL?
0.45100pctl
Def Suppression?
0.7279pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP
Shots / 60?
7.161pctl
Hits / 60?
2.632pctl
Take : Give?
0.2224pctl
Blocks / 60?
2.9887pctl
PP TOI / GP?
1:2146pctl
PK TOI / GP?
0:0020pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 18 GP tracked · 4h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
16.9 min17pctl
Support received?
16.8 min66pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 322 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.95M

cap hit

$3.17M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A

Team-friendly deal (+$2.2M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Daniil But65$0.95MA+$2.2Mthis player
Ethen Frank68$0.78MA+$3.2M90%
Braeden Bowman69$0.88MA+$3.3M86%
Anthony Duclair65$3.50MC$0.3M86%
Brendan Gallagher63$6.50MF$3.8M86%

Chemistry

Top connection: JJ Peterka · 3 goals together

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

3 pts · 1 G · 2 A · 13 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.6 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs TOR

2P

1G 1A

vs DAL

0P

0G 0A

vs SEA

0P

0G 0A

vs PHI

1P

0G 1A

@ NSH

0P

0G 0A

@ TBL

0P

0G 0A

@ FLA

0P

0G 0A

@ CAR

0P

0G 0A

vs DAL

0P

0G 0A

vs WSH

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)95 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 2 of 3 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 12 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 24 blocks · 1 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2025-26Utah Mammoth293471
Career1 team293471