Regular season

Jack McBain

Utah Mammoth · C · #22

Bottom-six playerWrecking Ball?271 hits (15.7/60) - physically tilts every shift

HT: 6'4"
WT: 219 lb
Age: 26
Shoots: L
From: Toronto, CAN
Draft: 2018 MIN · R3 #63

63Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

4646pctl

3838pctl

5151pctl

5151pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.3336pctl

0.1229pctl

0.2143pctl

1.447pctl

+1186pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

6.9%72pctl

1.8154pctl

0.0832pctl

Def Suppression?

0.5463pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

51.3%62pctl

D-Zone FO %?

42.4%20pctl

8.557pctl

0.189pctl

0:2236pctl

1:2763pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 42 GP tracked · 10h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

53.4%79pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

47.5%41pctl

O-zone deployment?

43%23pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.4 min51pctl

Support received?

17.4 min46pctl

D-zone deployment?

57%77pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0429pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.7589pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.5285pctl

0.96×34pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.17/gm72pctl

Pressure escape rate?

7.6%45pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 903 EV min

General Offense

6.5867

10.3081

Shot Setups/60?

1.3379

Chance Setups/60?

1.1380

Primary Contributions/60?

7.9071

Rebounds Created/60?

0.6068

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0028

Center-Lane Setups/60?

1.0686

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.4063

Deflection Setups/60?

0.1385

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.1355

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.7970

Rush Offense/60?

8.3060

Shots off HD Setups/60?

1.5389

1.4686

0.4085

Deflections/60?

2.1984

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.3382

Entries Finished/60?

0.9367

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.5361

Entry → Chance %?

57%38

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.0040

0.1328

0.8652

Retrieval Success %?

13%24

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0034

Exit Success %?

0%31

Forechecking

10.4383

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0042

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$4.25M

cap hit

$2.68M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

D

Paying a premium (−$1.6M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Jack McBain	63	Wrecking Ball	25 P · 75 GP	$4.25M	$2.68M	D−$1.6M	this player
Connor Dewar	65	Depth Forward	30 P · 78 GP	$1.10M	$3.17M	A+$2.1M	86%
Marco Kasper	60	Depth Forward	19 P · 81 GP	$0.89M	$2.03M	B+$1.1M	86%
Zemgus Girgensons	60	Depth Forward	20 P · 74 GP	$0.88M	$2.03M	B+$1.2M	82%
Cody Glass	65	Depth Forward	26 P · 70 GP	$2.50M	$3.17M	C+$0.7M	81%

Chemistry

Top connection: Lawson Crouse · 5 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Jack’s goals

Creates for

goals Jack assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

3 pts · 3 G · 0 A · 12 shots in last 10Steady(-0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs CHI

0P

0G 0A

vs CHI 03-12

0G 0A · 3 shots · 12:47 TOI

vs PIT

0P

0G 0A

vs PIT 03-14

0G 0A · 0 shots · 10:28 TOI

@ DAL

1P

1G 0A

@ DAL 03-16

1G 0A · 2 shots · 13:23 TOI

@ VGK

1P

1G 0A

@ VGK 03-19

1G 0A · 2 shots · 13:23 TOI

vs ANA

0P

0G 0A

vs ANA 03-20

0G 0A · 0 shots · 10:39 TOI

vs LAK

0P

0G 0A

vs LAK 03-22

0G 0A · 3 shots · 14:31 TOI

vs EDM

0P

0G 0A

vs EDM 03-24

0G 0A · 0 shots · 16:30 TOI

vs WSH

0P

0G 0A

vs WSH 03-26

0G 0A · 0 shots · 10:05 TOI

@ LAK

1P

1G 0A

@ LAK 03-28

1G 0A · 2 shots · 14:04 TOI

@ SEA

0P

0G 0A

@ SEA 04-02

0G 0A · 0 shots · 9:00 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)430 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 5 of 9 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 21 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 57 blocks · 4 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2021-22	Arizona Coyotes	10	2	1	3	-6
2022-23	Arizona Coyotes	82	12	14	26	-8
2023-24	Arizona Coyotes	67	8	18	26	8
2024-25	Utah Hockey Club	82	13	14	27	8
2025-26	Utah Mammoth	75	9	16	25	11
Career	3 teams	316	44	63	107	13