Regular season

Michael Carcone

Utah Mammoth · LW · #53

Middle-six playerDepth Forward?Energy role: 147 hits (8.8/60)

HT: 5'9"
WT: 182 lb
Age: 30
Shoots: L
From: Ajax, CAN

68Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

5757pctl

5353pctl

7272pctl

2727pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.3945pctl

0.2056pctl

0.1938pctl

1.968pctl

+473pctl

450pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

6.6%70pctl

3.1686pctl

0.1873pctl

Def Suppression?

0.1617pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

8.886pctl

8.879pctl

0.3152pctl

0.958pctl

0:5737pctl

0:009pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 46 GP tracked · 10h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

55.4%88pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

39.0%13pctl

O-zone deployment?

46%36pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.1 min28pctl

Support received?

17.2 min52pctl

D-zone deployment?

54%64pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.1280pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.3879pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.3558pctl

0.94×23pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.17/gm73pctl

Pressure escape rate?

9.4%82pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 930 EV min

General Offense

8.3987

10.2681

Shot Setups/60?

1.9489

Chance Setups/60?

1.6889

Primary Contributions/60?

10.3388

Rebounds Created/60?

0.8485

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.1983

Center-Lane Setups/60?

1.1087

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.9089

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0036

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.4589

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

2.4587

Rush Offense/60?

12.5988

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.5837

0.9060

0.3984

Deflections/60?

0.8422

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0635

Entries Finished/60?

1.3685

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.9787

Entry → Chance %?

71%67

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

0.9738

0.3257

0.6533

Retrieval Success %?

33%71

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0034

Exit Success %?

0%31

Forechecking

5.5569

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0682

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.78M

cap hit

$3.94M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A

Team-friendly deal (+$3.2M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Michael Carcone	68	Depth Forward	31 P · 79 GP	$0.78M	$3.94M	A+$3.2M	this player
Jeff Skinner	66	Depth Forward	13 P · 32 GP	-	$3.42M	-	85%
Evander Kane	69	Depth Forward	31 P · 71 GP	-	$4.22M	-	83%
Michael Bunting	67	Depth Forward	33 P · 74 GP	-	$3.68M	-	83%
Egor Chinakhov	71	Middle-Six Engine	42 P · 72 GP	$2.10M	$4.78M	A+$2.7M	83%

Chemistry

Top connection: Lawson Crouse · 7 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Michael’s goals

Creates for

goals Michael assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

4 pts · 2 G · 2 A · 16 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs WSH

0P

0G 0A

vs WSH 03-26

0G 0A · 2 shots · 15:23 TOI

@ LAK

0P

0G 0A

@ LAK 03-28

0G 0A · 2 shots · 13:01 TOI

@ SEA

1P

1G 0A

@ SEA 04-02

1G 0A · 3 shots · 15:03 TOI

@ VAN

0P

0G 0A

@ VAN 04-04

0G 0A · 1 shots · 12:53 TOI

vs EDM

2P

0G 2A

vs EDM 04-07

0G 2A · 1 shots · 15:11 TOI

vs NSH

0P

0G 0A

vs NSH 04-09

0G 0A · 2 shots · 14:35 TOI

vs CAR

0P

0G 0A

vs CAR 04-11

0G 0A · 1 shots · 12:47 TOI

@ CGY

0P

0G 0A

@ CGY 04-12

0G 0A · 1 shots · 12:03 TOI

vs WPG

0P

0G 0A

vs WPG 04-14

0G 0A · 0 shots · 14:28 TOI

vs STL

1P

1G 0A

vs STL 04-16

1G 0A · 3 shots · 17:49 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)318 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 5 of 16 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 29 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 22 blocks · 5 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2021-22	Arizona Coyotes	21	4	2	6	-8
2022-23	Arizona Coyotes	9	2	1	3	3
2023-24	Arizona Coyotes	74	21	8	29	-2
2024-25	Utah Hockey Club	53	7	12	19	-7
2025-26	Utah Mammoth	79	16	15	31	4
Career	3 teams	236	50	38	88	-10