Regular season

Jack St. Ivany

Winnipeg Jets · D · #6

Third-pair DHeavy Hitter?48 hits (8.8/60) - punishes the forecheck

HT: 6'4"
WT: 197 lb
Age: 27
Shoots: R
From: Manhattan Beach, USA
Draft: 2018 PHI · R4 #112

62Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

3434pctl

4848pctl

2828pctl

4040pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.3564pctl

0.006pctl

0.3580pctl

0.829pctl

+462pctl

027pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

1.7%15pctl

0.102pctl

0.0310pctl

Def Suppression?

0.2324pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

1.2041pctl

4.4159pctl

Blocks / 100 shifts?

6.671pctl

8.896pctl

0.1819pctl

0:004pctl

1:1942pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 12 GP tracked · 3h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

46.6%25pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

50.0%52pctl

O-zone deployment?

42%21pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

16.8 min10pctl

Support received?

15.5 min96pctl

D-zone deployment?

58%79pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0644pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.135pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.3151pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.38/gm7pctl

Pressure escape rate?

6.9%28pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 300 EV min

General Offense

2.8034

2.4032

Shot Setups/60?

1.0063

Chance Setups/60?

1.0071

Primary Contributions/60?

3.8041

Rebounds Created/60?

0.4058

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0037

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.2029

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.2058

Deflection Setups/60?

0.2077

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.2069

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.0026

Rush Offense/60?

4.8036

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.6074

0.2046

0.0033

Deflections/60?

0.0032

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0037

Entries Finished/60?

0.0024

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.0028

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

3.8075

0.6066

3.2075

Retrieval Success %?

16%46

Exit Involvements/60?

0.2077

Exit Success %?

5%76

Forechecking

1.4077

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0049

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.80M

cap hit

$2.59M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$1.8M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Jack St. Ivany	62	Heavy Hitter	7 P · 20 GP	$0.80M	$2.59M	B+$1.8M	this player
Adam Wilsby	61	Depth Defenseman	16 P · 58 GP	$0.81M	$2.35M	B+$1.5M	94%
Zach Bogosian	59	Depth Defenseman	6 P · 41 GP	$1.25M	$1.91M	C+$0.7M	90%
Nick Jensen	61	Depth Defenseman	17 P · 61 GP	$4.05M	$2.35M	D−$1.7M	88%
Scott Mayfield	60	Depth Defenseman	15 P · 80 GP	$3.50M	$2.12M	D−$1.4M	88%

Chemistry

Finishes from

assisters on Jack’s goals

No credited connections yet.

Creates for

goals Jack assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

4 pts · 0 G · 4 A · 3 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs CGY

0P

0G 0A

vs CGY 01-10

0G 0A · 1 shots · 12:20 TOI

vs TBL

0P

0G 0A

vs TBL 01-13

0G 0A · 0 shots · 19:58 TOI

vs PHI

0P

0G 0A

vs PHI 01-15

0G 0A · 0 shots · 16:32 TOI

vs CBJ

0P

0G 0A

vs CBJ 01-17

0G 0A · 0 shots · 16:06 TOI

@ CGY

2P

0G 2A

@ CGY 01-21

0G 2A · 1 shots · 16:55 TOI

@ EDM

2P

0G 2A

@ EDM 01-22

0G 2A · 0 shots · 18:59 TOI

@ VAN

0P

0G 0A

@ VAN 01-25

0G 0A · 0 shots · 2:54 TOI

vs WSH

0P

0G 0A

vs WSH 04-11

0G 0A · 0 shots · 18:07 TOI

@ WSH

0P

0G 0A

@ WSH 04-12

0G 0A · 1 shots · 21:22 TOI

@ STL

0P

0G 0A

@ STL 04-14

0G 0A · 0 shots · 21:00 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)71 events shown

Playmaking gravity: 5 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 24 blocks · 3 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2023-24	Pittsburgh Penguins	14	0	1	1	0
2024-25	Pittsburgh Penguins	19	0	1	1	-3
2025-26	Pittsburgh Penguins	20	0	7	7	4
Career	1 team	53	0	9	9	1