HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Oliver Ekman-Larsson

Toronto Maple Leafs · D · #95
Third-pair DDepth Defenseman?39 points and 72 blocks in 78 games in a supporting role
HT
6'2"
WT
190 lb
Age
35
Shoots
L
From
Karlskrona, SWE
Draft
2009 PHX · R1 #6
65Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
6666pctl
Playmaking?
4949pctl
Transition?
6363pctl
Defense?
1111pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.5084pctl
Goals / GP?
0.1077pctl
Assists / GP?
0.4085pctl
Shots / GP?
1.469pctl
Plus/Minus?
-628pctl
PP Points?
985pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
2.5%25pctl
ZEIS?
1.4942pctl
PSPL?
0.0310pctl
Def Suppression?
-0.282pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Blocks / GP?
0.9218pctl
Blocks / 60?
2.686pctl
Hits / 60?
3.257pctl
Take : Give?
0.158pctl
PP TOI / GP?
1:5082pctl
PK TOI / GP?
0:1712pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 46 GP tracked · 16h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.3 min44pctl
Support received?
16.8 min66pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1441 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$8.25M

cap hit

$3.35M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

F

Well above market ($4.9M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Oliver Ekman-Larsson65$8.25MF$4.9Mthis player
Zeev Buium61$0.97MB+$1.4M87%
Drew Doughty67$11.00MF$7.1M83%
Axel Sandin-Pellikka64$0.92MA+$2.2M83%
Zayne Parekh65$0.94MA+$2.4M83%

Recent form · last 10 games

4 pts · 0 G · 4 A · 8 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ BOS

1P

0G 1A

vs NYR

0P

0G 0A

@ STL

0P

0G 0A

@ ANA

2P

0G 2A

@ SJS

0P

0G 0A

vs WSH

0P

0G 0A

@ NYI

1P

0G 1A

vs FLA

0P

0G 0A

vs DAL

0P

0G 0A

@ OTT

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)358 events shown

The office: the left point - 3 of 8 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 17 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 69 blocks · 8 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2010-11Phoenix Coyotes48110113
2011-12Phoenix Coyotes821319320
2012-13Phoenix Coyotes48321245
2013-14Phoenix Coyotes80152944-4
2014-15Arizona Coyotes82232043-18
2015-16Arizona Coyotes75213455-6
2016-17Arizona Coyotes79122739-25
2017-18Arizona Coyotes82142842-28
2018-19Arizona Coyotes81143044-16
2019-20Arizona Coyotes6692130-3
2020-21Arizona Coyotes4632124-17
2021-22Vancouver Canucks79524295
2022-23Vancouver Canucks5422022-24
2023-24Florida Panthers809233210
2024-25Toronto Maple Leafs774252914
2025-26Toronto Maple Leafs7883139-6
Career5 teams1137156383539-110