Regular season

Matthew Wood

Nashville Predators · RW · #71

Middle-six playerDepth Forward?30 points in 71 games in a supporting role

HT: 6'4"
WT: 202 lb
Age: 21
Shoots: R
From: Nanaimo, CAN
Draft: 2023 NSH · R1 #15

66Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

5353pctl

4747pctl

4545pctl

2929pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.4249pctl

0.2465pctl

0.1837pctl

1.549pctl

-346pctl

866pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

5.5%60pctl

1.7752pctl

0.1563pctl

Def Suppression?

0.2526pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

7.159pctl

3.644pctl

0.2430pctl

1.7148pctl

1:3352pctl

0:0019pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 46 GP tracked · 10h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

48.6%41pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

52.9%65pctl

O-zone deployment?

64%96pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

16.9 min16pctl

Support received?

17.1 min56pctl

D-zone deployment?

36%4pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.1280pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.9859pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.3661pctl

0.95×27pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.17/gm70pctl

Pressure escape rate?

7.6%46pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 764 EV min

General Offense

5.8955

8.6462

Shot Setups/60?

1.3478

Chance Setups/60?

1.1077

Primary Contributions/60?

7.2361

Rebounds Created/60?

0.3942

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0029

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.6358

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.5579

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0877

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0020

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.1035

Rush Offense/60?

8.3260

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.6344

0.5527

0.1651

Deflections/60?

1.3449

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0839

Entries Finished/60?

0.3118

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.2423

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.1047

0.1632

0.9457

Retrieval Success %?

14%26

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0035

Exit Success %?

0%32

Forechecking

3.6953

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0042

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.95M

cap hit

$3.42M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A

Team-friendly deal (+$2.5M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Matthew Wood	66	Depth Forward	30 P · 71 GP	$0.95M	$3.42M	A+$2.5M	this player
Kevin Hayes	64	Depth Forward	8 P · 28 GP	-	$2.92M	-	87%
Easton Cowan	65	Depth Forward	29 P · 66 GP	$0.87M	$3.17M	A+$2.3M	87%
Victor Olofsson	65	Depth Forward	31 P · 78 GP	$1.57M	$3.17M	B+$1.6M	87%
Michael Bunting	67	Depth Forward	33 P · 74 GP	-	$3.68M	-	86%

Chemistry

Top connection: Filip Forsberg · 7 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Matthew’s goals

Creates for

goals Matthew assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

4 pts · 1 G · 3 A · 12 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs MTL

1P

0G 1A

vs MTL 03-28

0G 1A · 0 shots · 14:40 TOI

@ TBL

0P

0G 0A

@ TBL 03-29

0G 0A · 0 shots · 13:42 TOI

@ LAK

1P

0G 1A

@ LAK 04-02

0G 1A · 1 shots · 15:00 TOI

@ SJS

1P

0G 1A

@ SJS 04-04

0G 1A · 3 shots · 11:46 TOI

@ LAK

0P

0G 0A

@ LAK 04-06

0G 0A · 2 shots · 17:14 TOI

@ ANA

0P

0G 0A

@ ANA 04-07

0G 0A · 2 shots · 14:44 TOI

@ UTA

0P

0G 0A

@ UTA 04-09

0G 0A · 1 shots · 11:19 TOI

vs MIN

1P

1G 0A

vs MIN 04-11

1G 0A · 2 shots · 10:27 TOI

vs SJS

0P

0G 0A

vs SJS 04-13

0G 0A · 0 shots · 11:39 TOI

vs ANA

0P

0G 0A

vs ANA 04-16

0G 0A · 1 shots · 12:16 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)193 events shown

The office: the left circle - 5 of 17 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 21 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 31 blocks · 3 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2024-25	Nashville Predators	6	0	1	1	0
2025-26	Nashville Predators	71	17	13	30	-3
Career	1 team	77	17	14	31	-3