Regular season

Dalibor Dvorsky

St. Louis Blues · RW · #54

Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?21 points in 71 games in a supporting role

HT: 6'1"
WT: 207 lb
Age: 21
Shoots: L
From: Zvolen, SVK
Draft: 2023 STL · R1 #10

61Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

4141pctl

4343pctl

3737pctl

1616pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.3033pctl

0.1745pctl

0.1321pctl

1.341pctl

-634pctl

763pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

5.5%60pctl

1.4037pctl

0.1667pctl

Def Suppression?

0.0911pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

5.524pctl

4.553pctl

0.2018pctl

1.4131pctl

1:5863pctl

0:0128pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 44 GP tracked · 10h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

45.4%19pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

47.6%42pctl

O-zone deployment?

57%82pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

16.8 min13pctl

Support received?

17.2 min51pctl

D-zone deployment?

43%18pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0110pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.7144pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.3048pctl

0.95×28pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.19/gm65pctl

Pressure escape rate?

6.9%28pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 878 EV min

General Offense

4.5826

6.0822

Shot Setups/60?

0.4818

Chance Setups/60?

0.4122

Primary Contributions/60?

5.0623

Rebounds Created/60?

0.2726

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0028

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.2720

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.0715

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0037

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.2070

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.0933

Rush Offense/60?

6.4930

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.6142

0.7545

0.1447

Deflections/60?

0.6817

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.1455

Entries Finished/60?

0.4121

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.1416

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.4369

0.2039

1.2376

Retrieval Success %?

14%25

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0771

Exit Success %?

5%62

Forechecking

3.4250

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0782

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.89M

cap hit

$2.24M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$1.4M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Dalibor Dvorsky	61	Depth Forward	21 P · 71 GP	$0.89M	$2.24M	B+$1.4M	this player
Nino Niederreiter	61	Depth Forward	19 P · 61 GP	$4.00M	$2.24M	D−$1.8M	93%
Maxim Shabanov	62	Depth Forward	18 P · 44 GP	$0.97M	$2.46M	B+$1.5M	88%
Matias Maccelli	67	Depth Forward	39 P · 71 GP	$3.42M	$3.68M	C+$0.3M	87%
Jonatan Berggren	62	Depth Forward	22 P · 51 GP	$1.82M	$2.46M	C+$0.6M	86%

Chemistry

Top connection: Jake Neighbours · 3 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Dalibor’s goals

Creates for

goals Dalibor assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

3 pts · 1 G · 2 A · 13 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ SJS

0P

0G 0A

@ SJS 03-30

0G 0A · 2 shots · 11:56 TOI

@ LAK

0P

0G 0A

@ LAK 04-01

0G 0A · 2 shots · 15:08 TOI

@ ANA

1P

0G 1A

@ ANA 04-03

0G 1A · 1 shots · 14:51 TOI

@ COL

0P

0G 0A

@ COL 04-05

0G 0A · 1 shots · 11:13 TOI

vs COL

0P

0G 0A

vs COL 04-07

0G 0A · 0 shots · 9:47 TOI

vs WPG

0P

0G 0A

vs WPG 04-09

0G 0A · 0 shots · 19:37 TOI

@ CHI

1P

1G 0A

@ CHI 04-11

1G 0A · 2 shots · 12:52 TOI

vs MIN

1P

0G 1A

vs MIN 04-13

0G 1A · 1 shots · 15:31 TOI

vs PIT

0P

0G 0A

vs PIT 04-14

0G 0A · 2 shots · 12:48 TOI

@ UTA

0P

0G 0A

@ UTA 04-16

0G 0A · 2 shots · 14:05 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)182 events shown

The office: the left circle - 5 of 12 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 12 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 29 blocks · 3 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2024-25	St. Louis Blues	2	0	0	0	0
2025-26	St. Louis Blues	71	12	9	21	-6
Career	1 team	73	12	9	21	-6