HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Dylan DeMelo

Winnipeg Jets · D · #2
Third-pair DDepth Defenseman?109 blocks in 82 games of hard minutes
HT
6'1"
WT
194 lb
Age
33
Shoots
R
From
London, CAN
Draft
2011 SJS · R6 #179
62Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
2828pctl
Playmaking?
4141pctl
Transition?
2626pctl
Defense?
5050pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.2340pctl
Goals / GP?
0.0432pctl
Assists / GP?
0.2044pctl
Shots / GP?
0.935pctl
Plus/Minus?
+772pctl
PP Points?
027pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
1.2%7pctl
ZEIS?
0.7613pctl
PSPL?
0.0832pctl
Def Suppression?
0.6070pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Blocks / GP?
1.3354pctl
Blocks / 60?
3.7135pctl
Hits / 60?
3.967pctl
Take : Give?
0.2960pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:0747pctl
PK TOI / GP?
2:1674pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 51 GP tracked · 18h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.9 min85pctl
Support received?
17.7 min36pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1563 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$4.90M

cap hit

$2.59M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

D

Paying a premium ($2.3M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Dylan DeMelo62$4.90MD$2.3Mthis player
Kevin Bahl63$5.35MF$2.5M92%
Johnathan Kovacevic63$4.00MD$1.2M87%
Jonas Siegenthaler62$3.40MD$0.8M86%
Marcus Pettersson63$5.50MF$2.7M86%

Chemistry

Top connection: Kyle Connor · 5 goals together

Recent form · last 10 games

0 pts · 0 G · 0 A · 5 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ COL

0P

0G 0A

@ CHI

0P

0G 0A

@ DAL

0P

0G 0A

@ CBJ

0P

0G 0A

vs SEA

0P

0G 0A

@ STL

0P

0G 0A

vs PHI

0P

0G 0A

@ VGK

0P

0G 0A

@ UTA

0P

0G 0A

vs SJS

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)331 events shown

The office: the left point - 3 of 3 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 13 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 109 blocks · 12 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2015-16San Jose Sharks452240
2016-17San Jose Sharks251782
2017-18San Jose Sharks6302020-1
2018-19Ottawa Senators7741822-1
2019-20Ottawa Senators49010103
2019-20Winnipeg Jets100001
2020-21Winnipeg Jets5209910
2021-22Winnipeg Jets761121310
2022-23Winnipeg Jets756212710
2023-24Winnipeg Jets823283146
2024-25Winnipeg Jets823161931
2025-26Winnipeg Jets82316197
Career3 teams71823159182118