HockeyAlpha
Regular season

William Karlsson

Vegas Golden Knights · C · #71
Middle-six playerFaceoff General?57.6% on 158 draws - possession starts with him
HT
6'0"
WT
190 lb
Age
33
Shoots
L
From
Marsta, SWE
Draft
2011 ANA · R2 #53
70Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
6464pctl
Playmaking?
4040pctl
Transition?
6262pctl
Defense?
6666pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.5060pctl
Goals / GP?
0.2976pctl
Assists / GP?
0.2144pctl
Shots / GP?
2.177pctl
Plus/Minus?
-154pctl
PP Points?
135pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
8.5%82pctl
ZEIS?
2.6478pctl
PSPL?
0.0519pctl
Def Suppression?
1.1195pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP
Faceoff %?
57.6%93pctl
D-Zone FO %?
63.9%100pctl
Draws / GP
11.369pctl
Take : Give?
0.2726pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:6051pctl
PK TOI / GP?
1:2060pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 6 GP tracked · 2h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.7 min72pctl
Support received?
17.6 min39pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 179 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$5.90M

cap hit

$4.50M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

D

Paying a premium ($1.4M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
William Karlsson70$5.90MD$1.4Mthis player
Jordan Staal70$2.92MB+$1.6M91%
Matt Savoie67$0.89MA+$2.8M89%
Pius Suter67$4.13MC$0.4M85%
Ridly Greig67$3.25MC+$0.4M85%

Chemistry

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

6 pts · 4 G · 2 A · 20 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs BOS

2P

2G 0A

vs CGY

0P

0G 0A

vs CAR

1P

1G 0A

@ FLA

0P

0G 0A

@ TBL

1P

1G 0A

@ CAR

1P

0G 1A

vs COL

0P

0G 0A

vs DET

0P

0G 0A

vs TBL

0P

0G 0A

vs ANA

1P

0G 1A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)101 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 2 of 4 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 5 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 14 blocks · 3 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2014-15Anaheim Ducks182131
2014-15Columbus Blue Jackets31122
2015-16Columbus Blue Jackets8191120-9
2016-17Columbus Blue Jackets816192510
2017-18Vegas Golden Knights8243357849
2018-19Vegas Golden Knights822432561
2019-20Vegas Golden Knights6315314611
2020-21Vegas Golden Knights5614253919
2021-22Vegas Golden Knights671223353
2022-23Vegas Golden Knights8214395314
2023-24Vegas Golden Knights7030306015
2024-25Vegas Golden Knights539202917
2025-26Vegas Golden Knights14437-1
Career3 teams752183270453132