HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Brett Howden

Vegas Golden Knights · C · #21
Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?Energy role: 100 hits (6.9/60)
HT
6'2"
WT
201 lb
Age
28
Shoots
L
From
Oakbank, CAN
Draft
2016 TBL · R1 #27
60Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
4848pctl
Playmaking?
2323pctl
Transition?
2323pctl
Defense?
2727pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.3844pctl
Goals / GP?
0.2157pctl
Assists / GP?
0.1732pctl
Shots / GP?
1.130pctl
Plus/Minus?
-924pctl
PP Points?
346pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
4.9%55pctl
ZEIS?
0.9720pctl
PSPL?
0.016pctl
Def Suppression?
0.1919pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP
Faceoff %?
50.3%55pctl
D-Zone FO %?
50.3%57pctl
Draws / GP
8.960pctl
Take : Give?
0.2828pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:3943pctl
PK TOI / GP?
1:0255pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 39 GP tracked · 10h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.5 min57pctl
Support received?
18.2 min24pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 766 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$2.50M

cap hit

$2.03M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal ($0.5M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Brett Howden60$2.50MC$0.5Mthis player
Phillip Danault55$5.50MF$4.3M81%
Gage Goncalves61$1.20MB+$1.0M81%
Scott Laughton62$3.00MC$0.5M79%
Ben Meyers59$0.78MB+$1.1M78%

Chemistry

Top connection: Mitch Marner · 4 goals together

Recent form · last 10 games

4 pts · 3 G · 1 A · 13 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs EDM

0P

0G 0A

vs WSH

0P

0G 0A

vs VAN

0P

0G 0A

vs CGY

1P

1G 0A

@ EDM

2P

1G 1A

@ VAN

0P

0G 0A

@ SEA

1P

1G 0A

@ COL

0P

0G 0A

vs WPG

0P

0G 0A

vs SEA

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)274 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 6 of 12 goals live there

Defensive floor: 29 blocks · 4 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2018-19New York Rangers6661723-16
2019-20New York Rangers7091019-11
2020-21New York Rangers42167-2
2021-22Vegas Golden Knights47911209
2022-23Vegas Golden Knights5467135
2023-24Vegas Golden Knights7281119-11
2024-25Vegas Golden Knights8023174017
2025-26Vegas Golden Knights58121022-9
Career2 teams4897489163-18