HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Esa Lindell

Dallas Stars · D · #23
Third-pair DSteady Blueliner?179 blocks across 82 games of regular duty
HT
6'3"
WT
217 lb
Age
32
Shoots
L
From
Vantaa, FIN
Draft
2012 DAL · R3 #74
72Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
6767pctl
Playmaking?
5050pctl
Transition?
3737pctl
Defense?
7070pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.3972pctl
Goals / GP?
0.0762pctl
Assists / GP?
0.3274pctl
Shots / GP?
1.044pctl
Plus/Minus?
+3095pctl
PP Points?
267pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
3.1%33pctl
ZEIS?
0.355pctl
PSPL?
0.0624pctl
Def Suppression?
0.8889pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Blocks / GP?
2.1897pctl
Blocks / 60?
5.6388pctl
Hits / 60?
0.911pctl
Take : Give?
0.2755pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:4565pctl
PK TOI / GP?
3:5699pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 49 GP tracked · 19h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
18.1 min96pctl
Support received?
17.7 min37pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1521 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$5.25M

cap hit

$5.42M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.2M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Esa Lindell72$5.25MC+$0.2Mthis player
Simon Edvinsson76$0.89MA++$5.9M83%
Travis Sanheim74$6.25MC$0.2M82%
Rasmus Sandin74$4.60MB+$1.5M82%
Cam York75$5.15MB+$1.3M82%

Chemistry

Top connection: Miro Heiskanen · 5 goals together

Recent form · last 10 games

5 pts · 1 G · 4 A · 11 shots in last 10Heating up(+0.6 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ PIT

1P

0G 1A

@ PHI

0P

0G 0A

@ BOS

0P

0G 0A

vs WPG

0P

0G 0A

vs COL

0P

0G 0A

vs CGY

0P

0G 0A

vs MIN

2P

0G 2A

vs NYR

0P

0G 0A

@ TOR

0P

0G 0A

@ BUF

2P

1G 1A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)403 events shown

The office: the right point - 2 of 6 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 12 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 179 blocks · 18 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2015-16Dallas Stars4000-3
2016-17Dallas Stars73612188
2017-18Dallas Stars807202719
2018-19Dallas Stars8211213214
2019-20Dallas Stars69320235
2020-21Dallas Stars565111611
2021-22Dallas Stars76421254
2022-23Dallas Stars828162429
2023-24Dallas Stars825212617
2024-25Dallas Stars805212634
2025-26Dallas Stars826263230
Career1 team76660189249168