Regular season

Sam Steel

Dallas Stars · C · #18

Middle-six playerDepth Forward?33 points in 73 games in a supporting role

HT: 6'0"
WT: 185 lb
Age: 28
Shoots: L
From: Ardrossan, CAN
Draft: 2016 ANA · R1 #30

65Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

4444pctl

4747pctl

3131pctl

5858pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.4554pctl

0.1643pctl

0.2960pctl

1.129pctl

+370pctl

346pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

5.4%59pctl

1.3234pctl

0.0937pctl

Def Suppression?

0.4451pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

50.6%57pctl

D-Zone FO %?

49.4%49pctl

3.529pctl

0.4068pctl

0:2838pctl

2:0488pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 40 GP tracked · 10h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

46.5%24pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

53.7%69pctl

O-zone deployment?

55%75pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.7 min70pctl

Support received?

18.4 min18pctl

D-zone deployment?

45%25pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0430pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.9558pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.2947pctl

1.04×81pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.28/gm28pctl

Pressure escape rate?

8.3%61pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 988 EV min

General Offense

4.1919

5.9519

Shot Setups/60?

0.6728

Chance Setups/60?

0.6135

Primary Contributions/60?

4.8619

Rebounds Created/60?

0.2422

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0027

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.4940

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.1827

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0673

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.1252

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

0.4911

Rush Offense/60?

5.4116

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.7355

0.6737

0.1243

Deflections/60?

1.4052

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.2475

Entries Finished/60?

0.5531

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.4345

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.4671

0.6786

0.7945

Retrieval Success %?

46%85

Exit Involvements/60?

0.1281

Exit Success %?

8%77

Forechecking

3.2848

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0042

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$2.10M

cap hit

$3.17M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$1.1M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Sam Steel	65	Depth Forward	33 P · 73 GP	$2.10M	$3.17M	B+$1.1M	this player
Jean-Gabriel Pageau	67	Faceoff General	35 P · 74 GP	$5.00M	$3.68M	D−$1.3M	88%
Ryan Greene	63	Depth Forward	29 P · 81 GP	$0.95M	$2.68M	B+$1.7M	85%
Yanni Gourde	61	Depth Forward	28 P · 82 GP	$2.33M	$2.24M	C−$0.1M	85%
Marco Kasper	60	Depth Forward	19 P · 81 GP	$0.89M	$2.03M	B+$1.1M	85%

Chemistry

Top connection: Mikko Rantanen · 9 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Sam’s goals

Creates for

goals Sam assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

4 pts · 2 G · 2 A · 8 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs VGK

0P

0G 0A

vs VGK 03-10

0G 0A · 1 shots · 11:25 TOI

vs EDM

2P

1G 1A

vs EDM 03-12

1G 1A · 1 shots · 16:49 TOI

vs DET

0P

0G 0A

vs DET 03-14

0G 0A · 1 shots · 15:11 TOI

vs UTA

1P

1G 0A

vs UTA 03-16

1G 0A · 2 shots · 16:57 TOI

@ COL

0P

0G 0A

@ COL 03-18

0G 0A · 0 shots · 16:32 TOI

@ MIN

0P

0G 0A

@ MIN 03-21

0G 0A · 0 shots · 12:45 TOI

vs VGK

1P

0G 1A

vs VGK 03-22

0G 1A · 2 shots · 16:10 TOI

vs NJD

0P

0G 0A

vs NJD 03-24

0G 0A · 0 shots · 17:03 TOI

@ NYI

0P

0G 0A

@ NYI 03-26

0G 0A · 1 shots · 13:36 TOI

@ BUF

0P

0G 0A

@ BUF 04-15

0G 0A · 0 shots · 15:43 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)250 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 6 of 12 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 9 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 35 blocks · 14 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2018-19	Anaheim Ducks	22	6	5	11	2
2019-20	Anaheim Ducks	65	6	16	22	-13
2020-21	Anaheim Ducks	42	6	6	12	-7
2021-22	Anaheim Ducks	68	6	14	20	-17
2022-23	Minnesota Wild	65	10	18	28	11
2023-24	Dallas Stars	77	9	15	24	0
2024-25	Dallas Stars	79	6	19	25	-6
2025-26	Dallas Stars	73	12	21	33	3
Career	3 teams	491	61	114	175	-27