Regular season

Wyatt Johnston

Dallas Stars · C · #53

EliteTop-Six Threat?86 points in 82 games with strong all-around impact

HT: 6'1"
WT: 187 lb
Age: 23
Shoots: R
From: Toronto, CAN
Draft: 2021 DAL · R1 #23

90Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

9191pctl

8484pctl

8787pctl

7676pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

1.0594pctl

0.5598pctl

0.5088pctl

2.587pctl

-539pctl

4299pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

13.9%98pctl

3.9594pctl

0.2993pctl

Def Suppression?

0.7279pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

47.6%39pctl

D-Zone FO %?

48.6%45pctl

10.366pctl

0.3759pctl

3:3194pctl

0:3041pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 49 GP tracked · 16h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

49.9%52pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

53.1%66pctl

O-zone deployment?

52%59pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

18.0 min92pctl

Support received?

19.4 min4pctl

D-zone deployment?

48%41pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.2299pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

2.2697pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.7998pctl

1.06×88pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.22/gm50pctl

Pressure escape rate?

9.1%76pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1321 EV min

General Offense

5.1336

8.9068

Shot Setups/60?

0.9552

Chance Setups/60?

0.8258

Primary Contributions/60?

6.0940

Rebounds Created/60?

0.4143

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0546

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.8276

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.2743

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0036

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.2376

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.0931

Rush Offense/60?

7.5947

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.8670

0.7747

0.3686

Deflections/60?

1.3247

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.1866

Entries Finished/60?

0.9167

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.5564

Entry → Chance %?

60%44

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

0.9536

0.4169

0.5524

Retrieval Success %?

43%83

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0558

Exit Success %?

5%63

Forechecking

1.7325

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0575

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$8.40M

cap hit

$11.21M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A

Team-friendly deal (+$2.8M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Wyatt Johnston	90	Top-Six Threat	86 P · 82 GP	$8.40M	$11.21M	A+$2.8M	this player
Tage Thompson	89	Transition Engine	81 P · 81 GP	$7.14M	$10.83M	A+$3.7M	95%
Nick Schmaltz	87	Two-Way Force	74 P · 82 GP	$5.85M	$10.09M	A++$4.2M	89%
Nick Suzuki	91	Two-Way Force	101 P · 82 GP	$7.88M	$12.02M	A++$4.1M	89%
Nico Hischier	85	Top-Six Threat	66 P · 82 GP	$7.25M	$9.36M	A+$2.1M	88%

Chemistry

Top connection: Mikko Rantanen · 26 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Wyatt’s goals

Creates for

goals Wyatt assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

8 pts · 5 G · 3 A · 20 shots in last 10Heating up(+0.8 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ PIT

0P

0G 0A

@ PIT 03-28

0G 0A · 0 shots · 19:01 TOI

@ PHI

0P

0G 0A

@ PHI 03-29

0G 0A · 2 shots · 23:00 TOI

@ BOS

2P

1G 1A

@ BOS 03-31

1G 1A · 1 shots · 23:04 TOI

vs WPG

0P

0G 0A

vs WPG 04-02

0G 0A · 1 shots · 19:20 TOI

vs COL

0P

0G 0A

vs COL 04-04

0G 0A · 3 shots · 22:08 TOI

vs CGY

2P

2G 0A

vs CGY 04-07

2G 0A · 5 shots · 22:12 TOI

vs MIN

2P

1G 1A

vs MIN 04-09

1G 1A · 3 shots · 16:53 TOI

vs NYR

1P

0G 1A

vs NYR 04-11

0G 1A · 2 shots · 18:34 TOI

@ TOR

1P

1G 0A

@ TOR 04-13

1G 0A · 3 shots · 18:24 TOI

@ BUF

0P

0G 0A

@ BUF 04-15

0G 0A · 0 shots · 18:11 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)633 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 22 of 45 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 33 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 65 blocks · 10 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2022-23	Dallas Stars	82	24	17	41	6
2023-24	Dallas Stars	82	32	33	65	14
2024-25	Dallas Stars	82	33	38	71	2
2025-26	Dallas Stars	82	45	41	86	-5
Career	1 team	328	134	129	263	17