Regular season

Blake Lizotte

Pittsburgh Penguins · C · #46

Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?19 points in 55 games in a supporting role

HT: 5'9"
WT: 176 lb
Age: 28
Shoots: L
From: Lindstrom, USA

60Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

3131pctl

3434pctl

3030pctl

6868pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.3538pctl

0.1331pctl

0.2245pctl

0.914pctl

+677pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

4.1%44pctl

1.3836pctl

0.0519pctl

Def Suppression?

0.5767pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

50.0%54pctl

D-Zone FO %?

48.7%48pctl

8.757pctl

0.3861pctl

0:0420pctl

2:2997pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 26 GP tracked · 6h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

48.3%38pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

48.0%43pctl

O-zone deployment?

14%0pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.2 min36pctl

Support received?

16.9 min64pctl

D-zone deployment?

86%100pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0427pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.7546pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.1824pctl

0.85×2pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.14/gm82pctl

Pressure escape rate?

5.8%11pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 623 EV min

General Offense

4.0421

6.9336

Shot Setups/60?

0.6731

Chance Setups/60?

0.6744

Primary Contributions/60?

4.7221

Rebounds Created/60?

0.1922

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0030

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.5851

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.2948

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0038

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0022

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

0.5817

Rush Offense/60?

7.1342

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.3923

0.2918

0.0020

Deflections/60?

1.1638

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.2977

Entries Finished/60?

0.7754

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.3941

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.0645

0.1938

0.8751

Retrieval Success %?

18%33

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0036

Exit Success %?

0%33

Forechecking

3.4751

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0043

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$1.85M

cap hit

$2.03M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.2M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Blake Lizotte	60	Depth Forward	19 P · 55 GP	$1.85M	$2.03M	C+$0.2M	this player
Jason Dickinson	59	Depth Forward	17 P · 64 GP	$4.25M	$1.83M	D−$2.4M	92%
Noah Laba	59	Depth Forward	24 P · 74 GP	$0.91M	$1.83M	B+$0.9M	90%
Adam Lowry	60	Depth Forward	21 P · 70 GP	$3.25M	$2.03M	D−$1.2M	90%
Ty Dellandrea	56	Depth Forward	11 P · 46 GP	$1.30M	$1.30M	C+$0.0M	89%

Chemistry

Top connection: Connor Dewar · 8 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Blake’s goals

Creates for

goals Blake assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

2 pts · 1 G · 1 A · 7 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ NYI

0P

0G 0A

@ NYI 02-03

0G 0A · 0 shots · 11:05 TOI

vs NJD

1P

1G 0A

vs NJD 02-26

1G 0A · 2 shots · 14:31 TOI

@ NYR

1P

0G 1A

@ NYR 02-28

0G 1A · 0 shots · 14:29 TOI

vs VGK

0P

0G 0A

vs VGK 03-01

0G 0A · 0 shots · 14:08 TOI

vs BUF

0P

0G 0A

vs BUF 03-05

0G 0A · 2 shots · 16:44 TOI

vs PHI

0P

0G 0A

vs PHI 03-07

0G 0A · 0 shots · 15:02 TOI

vs BOS

0P

0G 0A

vs BOS 03-08

0G 0A · 2 shots · 15:52 TOI

@ CAR

0P

0G 0A

@ CAR 03-10

0G 0A · 0 shots · 14:12 TOI

@ VGK

0P

0G 0A

@ VGK 03-12

0G 0A · 0 shots · 10:21 TOI

@ UTA

0P

0G 0A

@ UTA 03-14

0G 0A · 1 shots · 15:48 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)248 events shown

The office: the perimeter - 2 of 7 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 8 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 35 blocks · 7 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2018-19	Los Angeles Kings	1	0	0	0	-1
2019-20	Los Angeles Kings	65	6	17	23	-4
2020-21	Los Angeles Kings	41	3	7	10	2
2021-22	Los Angeles Kings	70	10	14	24	15
2022-23	Los Angeles Kings	81	11	23	34	11
2023-24	Los Angeles Kings	62	7	8	15	11
2024-25	Pittsburgh Penguins	59	11	9	20	-4
2025-26	Pittsburgh Penguins	55	7	12	19	6
Career	2 teams	434	55	90	145	36