HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Ryan Hartman

Minnesota Wild · RW · #38
Top-six playerTwo-Way Force?Scores while suppressing: Def Sup 1.23 plus 43 points
HT
6'0"
WT
197 lb
Age
31
Shoots
R
From
Hilton Head Island, USA
Draft
2013 CHI · R1 #30
77Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
7575pctl
Playmaking?
6565pctl
Transition?
7676pctl
Defense?
8282pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.5765pctl
Goals / GP?
0.3079pctl
Assists / GP?
0.2656pctl
Shots / GP?
2.280pctl
Plus/Minus?
-154pctl
PP Points?
763pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
9.3%85pctl
ZEIS?
3.1485pctl
PSPL?
0.2182pctl
Def Suppression?
1.2397pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP
Shots / 60?
7.976pctl
Hits / 60?
3.038pctl
Take : Give?
0.3563pctl
Blocks / 60?
4.4799pctl
PP TOI / GP?
1:4558pctl
PK TOI / GP?
0:0347pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 48 GP tracked · 13h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.6 min62pctl
Support received?
19.4 min3pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1135 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$4.00M

cap hit

$6.62M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A

Team-friendly deal (+$2.6M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Ryan Hartman77$4.00MA+$2.6Mthis player
Blake Coleman74$4.90MB+$0.8M87%
Alex Tuch83$4.75MA+$3.9M85%
Noah Cates74$4.00MB+$1.7M84%
Timo Meier79$8.80MD$1.5M82%

Recent form · last 10 games

12 pts · 7 G · 5 A · 27 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs DAL

0P

0G 0A

@ TBL

1P

0G 1A

@ FLA

1P

1G 0A

@ BOS

2P

1G 1A

vs VAN

2P

2G 0A

@ OTT

2P

2G 0A

@ DET

2P

0G 2A

vs SEA

1P

0G 1A

@ DAL

1P

1G 0A

@ NSH

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)355 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 13 of 23 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 30 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 113 blocks · 5 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2014-15Chicago Blackhawks5000-1
2015-16Chicago Blackhawks3011-1
2016-17Chicago Blackhawks7619123113
2017-18Chicago Blackhawks57817255
2017-18Nashville Predators21336-4
2018-19Nashville Predators641010207
2018-19Philadelphia Flyers19246-6
2019-20Minnesota Wild69911204
2020-21Minnesota Wild51715220
2021-22Minnesota Wild8234316531
2022-23Minnesota Wild591522377
2023-24Minnesota Wild742124454
2024-25Minnesota Wild69111526-7
2025-26Minnesota Wild76232043-1
Career4 teams72516218534751