HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Alex Tuch

Washington Capitals · RW · #89
Top-six playerTwo-Way Force?Scores while suppressing: Def Sup 1.31 plus 66 points
HT
6'4"
WT
219 lb
Age
30
Shoots
R
From
Syracuse, USA
Draft
2014 MIN · R1 #18
83Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
8080pctl
Playmaking?
6868pctl
Transition?
7676pctl
Defense?
9292pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.8485pctl
Goals / GP?
0.4291pctl
Assists / GP?
0.4279pctl
Shots / GP?
2.586pctl
Plus/Minus?
+2497pctl
PP Points?
968pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
9.2%85pctl
ZEIS?
3.1686pctl
PSPL?
0.1667pctl
Def Suppression?
1.3198pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP
Shots / 60?
7.874pctl
Hits / 60?
3.341pctl
Take : Give?
0.6596pctl
Blocks / 60?
3.5993pctl
PP TOI / GP?
1:4056pctl
PK TOI / GP?
2:2699pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 48 GP tracked · 16h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.8 min81pctl
Support received?
18.6 min13pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1176 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$4.75M

cap hit

$8.65M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A

Team-friendly deal (+$3.9M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Alex Tuch83$4.75MA+$3.9Mthis player
Ryan Hartman77$4.00MA+$2.6M85%
Timo Meier79$8.80MD$1.5M79%
Blake Coleman74$4.90MB+$0.8M77%
Quinton Byfield77$6.25MC+$0.4M76%

Chemistry

Top connection: Tage Thompson · 16 goals together

Recent form · last 10 games

7 pts · 4 G · 3 A · 26 shots in last 10Heating up(+0.6 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs DET

0P

0G 0A

vs SEA

0P

0G 0A

vs NYI

1P

0G 1A

@ OTT

0P

0G 0A

@ WSH

1P

0G 1A

vs TBL

1P

1G 0A

@ NYR

1P

1G 0A

vs CBJ

0P

0G 0A

@ CHI

2P

1G 1A

vs DAL

1P

1G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)377 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 13 of 33 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 18 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 102 blocks · 19 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2016-17Minnesota Wild6000-3
2017-18Vegas Golden Knights781522373
2018-19Vegas Golden Knights7420325213
2019-20Vegas Golden Knights428917-10
2020-21Vegas Golden Knights5518153316
2021-22Buffalo Sabres50122638-3
2022-23Buffalo Sabres7436437914
2023-24Buffalo Sabres752237599
2024-25Buffalo Sabres8236316716
2025-26Buffalo Sabres7933336624
Career3 teams61520024844879