HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Sam Reinhart

Florida Panthers · C · #13
First-line playerSniper?29 goals on 29.1 expected - a volume shooter
HT
6'1"
WT
196 lb
Age
30
Shoots
R
From
West Vancouver, CAN
Draft
2014 BUF · R1 #2
85Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
8989pctl
Playmaking?
6666pctl
Transition?
8888pctl
Defense?
5656pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.9592pctl
Goals / GP?
0.4594pctl
Assists / GP?
0.5088pctl
Shots / GP?
2.689pctl
Plus/Minus?
-187pctl
PP Points?
2593pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
14.2%99pctl
ZEIS?
4.4396pctl
PSPL?
0.1355pctl
Def Suppression?
0.5059pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP
Faceoff %?
38.1%6pctl
D-Zone FO %?
38.5%9pctl
Draws / GP
2.325pctl
Take : Give?
0.2931pctl
PP TOI / GP?
4:1099pctl
PK TOI / GP?
1:5883pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 35 GP tracked · 12h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
18.2 min98pctl
Support received?
19.3 min4pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 970 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$8.63M

cap hit

$9.36M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.7M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Sam Reinhart85$8.63MC+$0.7Mthis player
Bo Horvat84$8.50MC+$0.5M89%
Tim Stützle87$8.35MB+$1.7M87%
Jake Guentzel90$9.00MA+$2.2M80%
Sam Bennett82$8.00MC+$0.3M78%

Recent form · last 10 games

9 pts · 2 G · 7 A · 27 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs BUF

2P

0G 2A

vs BOS

1P

0G 1A

@ TBL

0P

0G 0A

vs TOR

1P

0G 1A

vs BUF

0P

0G 0A

@ NYI

1P

1G 0A

@ NJD

0P

0G 0A

@ CBJ

1P

0G 1A

@ DET

1P

0G 1A

vs CBJ

2P

1G 1A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)417 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 13 of 29 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 22 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 49 blocks · 3 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2014-15Buffalo Sabres9011-1
2015-16Buffalo Sabres79231942-8
2016-17Buffalo Sabres79173047-11
2017-18Buffalo Sabres82252550-24
2018-19Buffalo Sabres82224365-10
2019-20Buffalo Sabres69222850-15
2020-21Buffalo Sabres54251540-28
2021-22Florida Panthers7833498225
2022-23Florida Panthers82313667-12
2023-24Florida Panthers8257379429
2024-25Florida Panthers793942816
2025-26Florida Panthers64293261-18
Career2 teams839323357680-67