Regular season

Nathan Walker

St. Louis Blues · LW · #26

Depth playerWrecking Ball?179 hits (19.5/60) - physically tilts every shift

HT: 5'9"
WT: 191 lb
Age: 32
Shoots: L
From: Cardiff, GBR
Draft: 2014 WSH · R3 #89

54Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

2222pctl

2323pctl

1313pctl

3939pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.2422pctl

0.0919pctl

0.1527pctl

0.810pctl

-924pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

3.6%39pctl

0.153pctl

0.016pctl

Def Suppression?

0.4249pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

4.15pctl

19.597pctl

0.122pctl

3.8095pctl

0:0313pctl

1:0175pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 18 GP tracked · 4h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

45.4%19pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

36.8%8pctl

O-zone deployment?

34%7pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

16.9 min17pctl

Support received?

16.5 min77pctl

D-zone deployment?

66%93pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.1173pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.2573pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.3457pctl

0.98×45pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.11/gm92pctl

Pressure escape rate?

4.8%3pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 503 EV min

General Offense

4.5328

5.6122

Shot Setups/60?

0.1217

Chance Setups/60?

0.1217

Primary Contributions/60?

4.6523

Rebounds Created/60?

0.1219

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0031

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.0017

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.0018

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0038

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0024

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

0.7221

Rush Offense/60?

5.6123

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.6041

0.9562

0.1243

Deflections/60?

1.5559

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.1251

Entries Finished/60?

0.4829

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.2426

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.5572

0.0019

1.5581

Retrieval Success %?

0%17

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0036

Exit Success %?

0%34

Forechecking

15.5183

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0043

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.78M

cap hit

$1.03M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.3M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Nathan Walker	54	Wrecking Ball	11 P · 46 GP	$0.78M	$1.03M	C+$0.3M	this player
Joel Kiviranta	54	Depth Forward	9 P · 51 GP	$1.25M	$1.03M	C−$0.2M	91%
Zach Aston-Reese	54	Wrecking Ball	5 P · 27 GP	$0.78M	$1.03M	C+$0.3M	89%
Nikita Grebenkin	54	Depth Forward	14 P · 55 GP	$0.88M	$1.03M	C+$0.2M	87%
Keegan Kolesar	54	Wrecking Ball	17 P · 82 GP	$2.50M	$1.03M	D−$1.5M	84%

Chemistry

Top connection: Oskar Sundqvist · 4 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Nathan’s goals

Creates for

goals Nathan assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

0 pts · 0 G · 0 A · 5 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ DAL

0P

0G 0A

@ DAL 02-04

0G 0A · 1 shots · 13:23 TOI

vs SEA

0P

0G 0A

vs SEA 02-26

0G 0A · 1 shots · 11:40 TOI

vs NJD

0P

0G 0A

vs NJD 02-28

0G 0A · 0 shots · 7:51 TOI

@ SJS

0P

0G 0A

@ SJS 03-06

0G 0A · 0 shots · 10:03 TOI

@ CAR

0P

0G 0A

@ CAR 03-12

0G 0A · 0 shots · 11:25 TOI

vs SJS

0P

0G 0A

vs SJS 03-26

0G 0A · 0 shots · 10:19 TOI

@ ANA

0P

0G 0A

@ ANA 04-03

0G 0A · 1 shots · 9:58 TOI

vs WPG

0P

0G 0A

vs WPG 04-09

0G 0A · 2 shots · 10:43 TOI

vs PIT

0P

0G 0A

vs PIT 04-14

0G 0A · 0 shots · 11:39 TOI

@ UTA

0P

0G 0A

@ UTA 04-16

0G 0A · 0 shots · 14:23 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)72 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 3 of 4 goals live there

Defensive floor: 39 blocks · 0 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2017-18	Washington Capitals	7	1	0	1	1
2017-18	Edmonton Oilers	2	0	0	0	-1
2018-19	Washington Capitals	3	0	1	1	1
2019-20	St. Louis Blues	5	1	1	2	-2
2020-21	St. Louis Blues	8	1	0	1	-4
2021-22	St. Louis Blues	30	8	4	12	1
2022-23	St. Louis Blues	56	2	8	10	10
2023-24	St. Louis Blues	45	7	6	13	-1
2024-25	St. Louis Blues	73	8	8	16	-5
2025-26	St. Louis Blues	46	4	7	11	-9
Career	3 teams	275	32	35	67	-9