Regular season

Joel Kiviranta

Dallas Stars · LW · #22

Depth playerDepth Forward?Energy role: 63 hits (7.1/60)

HT: 5'11"
WT: 185 lb
Age: 30
Shoots: L
From: Vantaa, FIN

54Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

2121pctl

2828pctl

1616pctl

4545pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.1811pctl

0.0611pctl

0.1218pctl

1.019pctl

+780pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

3.2%34pctl

0.8616pctl

0.0832pctl

Def Suppression?

0.2728pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

5.729pctl

7.172pctl

0.4783pctl

1.7047pctl

0:0415pctl

1:0377pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 40 GP tracked · 7h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

58.3%95pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

60.9%92pctl

O-zone deployment?

41%19pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

16.7 min8pctl

Support received?

16.6 min73pctl

D-zone deployment?

59%81pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.1173pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.6541pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.1926pctl

0.91×12pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.15/gm80pctl

Pressure escape rate?

8.8%71pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 473 EV min

General Offense

6.0957

8.3857

Shot Setups/60?

1.2771

Chance Setups/60?

0.8962

Primary Contributions/60?

7.3661

Rebounds Created/60?

0.6369

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.1369

Center-Lane Setups/60?

1.1481

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.5173

Deflection Setups/60?

0.2583

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.2574

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.4050

Rush Offense/60?

7.7450

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.0017

0.7647

0.2569

Deflections/60?

2.1677

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0024

Entries Finished/60?

0.2520

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.2529

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.4063

0.3863

1.0262

Retrieval Success %?

27%55

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0037

Exit Success %?

0%34

Forechecking

6.6069

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0043

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$1.25M

cap hit

$1.03M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (−$0.2M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Joel Kiviranta	54	Depth Forward	9 P · 51 GP	$1.25M	$1.03M	C−$0.2M	this player
Zach Aston-Reese	54	Wrecking Ball	5 P · 27 GP	$0.78M	$1.03M	C+$0.3M	96%
Nathan Walker	54	Wrecking Ball	11 P · 46 GP	$0.78M	$1.03M	C+$0.3M	91%
Arshdeep Bains	54	Depth Forward	5 P · 28 GP	$0.81M	$1.03M	C+$0.2M	90%
Keegan Kolesar	54	Wrecking Ball	17 P · 82 GP	$2.50M	$1.03M	D−$1.5M	89%

Chemistry

Finishes from

assisters on Joel’s goals

Creates for

goals Joel assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

0 pts · 0 G · 0 A · 12 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs WPG

0P

0G 0A

vs WPG 03-28

0G 0A · 0 shots · 7:35 TOI

vs CGY

0P

0G 0A

vs CGY 03-30

0G 0A · 2 shots · 10:55 TOI

vs VAN

0P

0G 0A

vs VAN 04-01

0G 0A · 0 shots · 8:11 TOI

@ DAL

0P

0G 0A

@ DAL 04-04

0G 0A · 1 shots · 10:41 TOI

vs STL

0P

0G 0A

vs STL 04-05

0G 0A · 1 shots · 11:26 TOI

vs CGY

0P

0G 0A

vs CGY 04-09

0G 0A · 1 shots · 8:58 TOI

vs VGK

0P

0G 0A

vs VGK 04-11

0G 0A · 0 shots · 9:50 TOI

@ EDM

0P

0G 0A

@ EDM 04-13

0G 0A · 0 shots · 7:45 TOI

@ CGY

0P

0G 0A

@ CGY 04-14

0G 0A · 1 shots · 9:44 TOI

vs SEA

0P

0G 0A

vs SEA 04-16

0G 0A · 6 shots · 14:22 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)92 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 1 of 3 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 10 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 20 blocks · 5 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2019-20	Dallas Stars	11	1	0	1	-1
2020-21	Dallas Stars	26	6	5	11	3
2021-22	Dallas Stars	56	1	6	7	-6
2022-23	Dallas Stars	70	8	1	9	-9
2023-24	Colorado Avalanche	56	3	6	9	-1
2024-25	Colorado Avalanche	79	16	7	23	15
2025-26	Colorado Avalanche	51	3	6	9	7
Career	2 teams	349	38	31	69	8