HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Viktor Arvidsson

Detroit Red Wings · LW · #71
Top-six playerMiddle-Six Engine?Reliable minutes: 54 points and honest two-way play
HT
5'10"
WT
181 lb
Age
33
Shoots
R
From
Skelleftea, SWE
Draft
2014 NSH · R4 #112
81Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
7979pctl
Playmaking?
7272pctl
Transition?
8383pctl
Defense?
3535pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.7882pctl
Goals / GP?
0.3686pctl
Assists / GP?
0.4279pctl
Shots / GP?
2.588pctl
Plus/Minus?
+2095pctl
PP Points?
968pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
10.3%89pctl
ZEIS?
3.7792pctl
PSPL?
0.1977pctl
Def Suppression?
0.3134pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP
Shots / 60?
10.497pctl
Hits / 60?
1.414pctl
Take : Give?
0.2635pctl
Blocks / 60?
2.1465pctl
PP TOI / GP?
1:5964pctl
PK TOI / GP?
0:0010pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 42 GP tracked · 10h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.8 min83pctl
Support received?
17.8 min34pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 871 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$4.00M

cap hit

$7.95M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A

Team-friendly deal (+$4.0M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Viktor Arvidsson81$4.00MA+$4.0Mthis player
Anthony Mantha79$2.50MA++$4.8M87%
Beckett Sennecke80$0.94MA++$6.7M87%
Jackson Blake79$0.91MA++$6.4M86%
Mason Marchment78$4.50MA+$2.4M84%

Chemistry

Top connection: Casey Mittelstadt · 20 goals together

Recent form · last 10 games

13 pts · 6 G · 7 A · 24 shots in last 10Cooling off(-1.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ BUF

1P

1G 0A

vs MIN

2P

1G 1A

@ CBJ

3P

0G 3A

vs DAL

3P

3G 0A

@ FLA

0P

0G 0A

@ TBL

1P

0G 1A

@ PHI

0P

0G 0A

@ CAR

2P

0G 2A

vs TBL

0P

0G 0A

vs NJD

1P

1G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)361 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 10 of 25 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 29 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 41 blocks · 4 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2014-15Nashville Predators60000
2015-16Nashville Predators568816-8
2016-17Nashville Predators8031306116
2017-18Nashville Predators7829326120
2018-19Nashville Predators5834144812
2019-20Nashville Predators57151328-4
2020-21Nashville Predators501015259
2021-22Los Angeles Kings662029491
2022-23Los Angeles Kings77263359-4
2023-24Los Angeles Kings1869154
2024-25Edmonton Oilers67151227-3
2025-26Boston Bruins6925295420
Career4 teams68221922444363