Regular season

Gustav Forsling

Florida Panthers · D · #42

Second-pair DSteady Blueliner?98 blocks across 80 games of regular duty

HT: 6'1"
WT: 199 lb
Age: 30
Shoots: L
From: Linkoping, SWE
Draft: 2014 VAN · R5 #126

74Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

3838pctl

7676pctl

7070pctl

6161pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.3564pctl

0.0321pctl

0.3376pctl

1.471pctl

-531pctl

267pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

1.9%17pctl

2.5174pctl

0.1977pctl

Def Suppression?

0.8487pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

1.2346pctl

3.2420pctl

Blocks / 100 shifts?

4.624pctl

1.732pctl

0.4996pctl

0:3661pctl

3:0396pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 51 GP tracked · 19h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

51.3%63pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

45.6%31pctl

O-zone deployment?

53%66pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.9 min87pctl

Support received?

17.2 min51pctl

D-zone deployment?

47%34pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0425pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.167pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.1720pctl

1.00×57pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.23/gm43pctl

Pressure escape rate?

7.5%43pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1518 EV min

General Offense

3.8762

2.7334

Shot Setups/60?

1.1983

Chance Setups/60?

1.0384

Primary Contributions/60?

5.0671

Rebounds Created/60?

0.5985

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0030

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.5579

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.2062

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0034

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.1259

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.7859

Rush Offense/60?

5.3746

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.1623

0.2859

0.0863

Deflections/60?

0.0439

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0458

Entries Finished/60?

0.3667

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.1256

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.6611

0.4041

1.269

Retrieval Success %?

24%78

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0036

Exit Success %?

0%36

Forechecking

0.4358

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0048

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$5.75M

cap hit

$6.07M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.3M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Gustav Forsling	74	Steady Blueliner	28 P · 80 GP	$5.75M	$6.07M	C+$0.3M	this player
Noah Hanifin	76	Steady Blueliner	28 P · 71 GP	$7.35M	$6.75M	C−$0.6M	84%
Rasmus Ristolainen	72	Steady Blueliner	14 P · 44 GP	$5.10M	$5.42M	C+$0.3M	81%
Devon Toews	75	Steady Blueliner	24 P · 68 GP	$7.25M	$6.40M	D−$0.8M	79%
Artem Zub	73	Steady Blueliner	30 P · 81 GP	$4.60M	$5.74M	B+$1.1M	78%

Chemistry

Top connection: Carter Verhaeghe · 4 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Gustav’s goals

Creates for

goals Gustav assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

3 pts · 0 G · 3 A · 21 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ NYI

0P

0G 0A

@ NYI 03-28

0G 0A · 3 shots · 21:25 TOI

@ NYR

0P

0G 0A

@ NYR 03-29

0G 0A · 3 shots · 20:26 TOI

vs OTT

0P

0G 0A

vs OTT 03-31

0G 0A · 2 shots · 24:26 TOI

vs BOS

0P

0G 0A

vs BOS 04-02

0G 0A · 1 shots · 27:13 TOI

@ PIT

1P

0G 1A

@ PIT 04-04

0G 1A · 3 shots · 21:17 TOI

@ PIT

1P

0G 1A

@ PIT 04-05

0G 1A · 4 shots · 24:21 TOI

@ MTL

1P

0G 1A

@ MTL 04-07

0G 1A · 1 shots · 26:24 TOI

@ OTT

0P

0G 0A

@ OTT 04-09

0G 0A · 1 shots · 27:05 TOI

@ TOR

0P

0G 0A

@ TOR 04-11

0G 0A · 2 shots · 21:54 TOI

vs NYR

0P

0G 0A

vs NYR 04-13

0G 0A · 1 shots · 13:58 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)406 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 1 of 2 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 33 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 99 blocks · 17 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2016-17	Chicago Blackhawks	38	2	3	5	3
2017-18	Chicago Blackhawks	41	3	10	13	-2
2018-19	Chicago Blackhawks	43	3	6	9	-9
2020-21	Florida Panthers	43	5	12	17	17
2021-22	Florida Panthers	71	10	27	37	41
2022-23	Florida Panthers	82	13	28	41	19
2023-24	Florida Panthers	79	10	29	39	56
2024-25	Florida Panthers	80	11	20	31	33
2025-26	Florida Panthers	80	2	26	28	-5
Career	2 teams	557	59	161	220	153