HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Evan Rodrigues

New Jersey Devils · C · #17
Middle-six playerDepth Forward?31 points in 69 games in a supporting role
HT
5'11"
WT
182 lb
Age
33
Shoots
R
From
Toronto, CAN
70Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
5050pctl
Playmaking?
7070pctl
Transition?
7272pctl
Defense?
5252pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.4553pctl
Goals / GP?
0.1641pctl
Assists / GP?
0.2961pctl
Shots / GP?
2.382pctl
Plus/Minus?
-1610pctl
PP Points?
555pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
6.8%72pctl
ZEIS?
3.1285pctl
PSPL?
0.2690pctl
Def Suppression?
0.3134pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP
Faceoff %?
47.0%34pctl
D-Zone FO %?
44.0%29pctl
Draws / GP
11.570pctl
Take : Give?
0.6696pctl
PP TOI / GP?
1:5467pctl
PK TOI / GP?
1:1659pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 40 GP tracked · 11h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.2 min38pctl
Support received?
17.8 min35pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 954 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$3.02M

cap hit

$4.50M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$1.5M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Evan Rodrigues70$3.02MB+$1.5Mthis player
Sean Monahan70$5.50MD$1.0M87%
Cole Perfetti71$3.25MB+$1.5M84%
Mason McTavish74$7.00MD$1.3M84%
Barrett Hayton67$2.65MB+$1.0M80%

Chemistry

Top connection: Sam Reinhart · 10 goals together

Recent form · last 10 games

4 pts · 0 G · 4 A · 16 shots in last 10Heating up(+0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ NJD

1P

0G 1A

@ CBJ

0P

0G 0A

@ DET

0P

0G 0A

vs DET

0P

0G 0A

vs CBJ

0P

0G 0A

@ SEA

0P

0G 0A

@ EDM

2P

0G 2A

@ CGY

0P

0G 0A

vs SEA

1P

0G 1A

vs MIN

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)547 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 5 of 11 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 29 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 38 blocks · 12 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2015-16Buffalo Sabres21122
2016-17Buffalo Sabres30426-7
2017-18Buffalo Sabres4871825-10
2018-19Buffalo Sabres7492029-7
2019-20Buffalo Sabres38549-8
2019-20Pittsburgh Penguins71010
2020-21Pittsburgh Penguins357714-3
2021-22Pittsburgh Penguins821924433
2022-23Colorado Avalanche691623397
2023-24Florida Panthers8012273926
2024-25Florida Panthers82151732-4
2025-26Florida Panthers69112031-16
Career4 teams616107163270-17