HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Aaron Ekblad

Florida Panthers · D · #5
Third-pair DSteady Blueliner?103 blocks across 72 games of regular duty
HT
6'4"
WT
220 lb
Age
30
Shoots
R
From
Windsor, CAN
Draft
2014 FLA · R1 #1
72Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
5858pctl
Playmaking?
5555pctl
Transition?
6060pctl
Defense?
5555pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.3667pctl
Goals / GP?
0.0651pctl
Assists / GP?
0.3170pctl
Shots / GP?
1.368pctl
Plus/Minus?
-531pctl
PP Points?
576pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
2.6%26pctl
ZEIS?
1.5644pctl
PSPL?
0.0937pctl
Def Suppression?
0.6977pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Blocks / GP?
1.4361pctl
Blocks / 60?
3.8139pctl
Hits / 60?
3.155pctl
Take : Give?
0.2964pctl
PP TOI / GP?
2:1086pctl
PK TOI / GP?
2:5191pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 44 GP tracked · 16h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.9 min90pctl
Support received?
17.8 min34pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1258 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$6.10M

cap hit

$5.42M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal ($0.7M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Aaron Ekblad72$6.10MC$0.7Mthis player
Neal Pionk69$7.00MF$2.5M86%
Jamie Drysdale75$2.30MA++$4.1M83%
Jared Spurgeon73$7.58MD$1.8M80%
Devon Toews75$7.25MD$0.8M79%

Chemistry

Top connection: Sam Reinhart · 6 goals together

Recent form · last 10 games

1 pts · 1 G · 0 A · 16 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs CBJ

0P

0G 0A

@ SEA

0P

0G 0A

@ VAN

0P

0G 0A

@ EDM

0P

0G 0A

@ CGY

0P

0G 0A

vs SEA

0P

0G 0A

vs MIN

1P

1G 0A

@ NYI

0P

0G 0A

@ NYR

0P

0G 0A

vs OTT

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)366 events shown

The office: the left circle - 2 of 4 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 20 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 104 blocks · 11 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2014-15Florida Panthers8112273912
2015-16Florida Panthers7815213618
2016-17Florida Panthers68101121-23
2017-18Florida Panthers821622389
2018-19Florida Panthers821324371
2019-20Florida Panthers675364112
2020-21Florida Panthers351111225
2021-22Florida Panthers6115425738
2022-23Florida Panthers71142438-14
2023-24Florida Panthers514141827
2024-25Florida Panthers563303311
2025-26Florida Panthers7242226-5
Career1 team80412228440691