Regular season

Niko Mikkola

Florida Panthers · D · #77

Depth DDepth Defenseman?81 blocks in 68 games of hard minutes

HT: 6'6"
WT: 204 lb
Age: 30
Shoots: L
From: Kiiminki, FIN
Draft: 2015 STL · R5 #127

57Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

4747pctl

2727pctl

2323pctl

2929pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.1619pctl

0.0441pctl

0.1215pctl

1.043pctl

-144pctl

027pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

2%19pctl

0.304pctl

0.0728pctl

Def Suppression?

0.1515pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

1.1940pctl

3.5128pctl

Blocks / 100 shifts?

4.521pctl

5.081pctl

0.2235pctl

0:0849pctl

2:2177pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 39 GP tracked · 13h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

51.2%61pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

37.5%10pctl

O-zone deployment?

49%48pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.5 min59pctl

Support received?

17.5 min43pctl

D-zone deployment?

51%52pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0641pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.2720pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.2130pctl

1.00×58pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.20/gm61pctl

Pressure escape rate?

7.2%35pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1215 EV min

General Offense

2.9129

2.6732

Shot Setups/60?

0.7442

Chance Setups/60?

0.6955

Primary Contributions/60?

3.6531

Rebounds Created/60?

0.2537

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0031

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.3542

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.2576

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0034

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.2078

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.4335

Rush Offense/60?

4.8429

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.3970

0.2042

0.2085

Deflections/60?

0.3088

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0568

Entries Finished/60?

0.3055

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.1564

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

2.3234

0.1010

2.2250

Retrieval Success %?

4%10

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0037

Exit Success %?

0%37

Forechecking

0.6978

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0048

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$2.50M

cap hit

$1.51M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

D

Paying a premium (−$1.0M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Niko Mikkola	57	Depth Defenseman	11 P · 68 GP	$2.50M	$1.51M	D−$1.0M	this player
Nick Perbix	59	Depth Defenseman	13 P · 79 GP	$2.75M	$1.91M	D−$0.8M	91%
Ryker Evans	58	Depth Defenseman	17 P · 67 GP	$2.05M	$1.70M	C−$0.3M	88%
Shakir Mukhamadullin	59	Depth Defenseman	12 P · 50 GP	$1.00M	$1.91M	B+$0.9M	85%
Emil Lilleberg	58	Heavy Hitter	12 P · 50 GP	$0.82M	$1.70M	B+$0.9M	85%

Chemistry

Top connection: Sam Bennett · 4 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Niko’s goals

Creates for

goals Niko assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

2 pts · 2 G · 0 A · 13 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs BUF

0P

0G 0A

vs BUF 02-27

0G 0A · 0 shots · 25:29 TOI

@ NYI

0P

0G 0A

@ NYI 03-01

0G 0A · 2 shots · 23:03 TOI

@ NJD

0P

0G 0A

@ NJD 03-03

0G 0A · 1 shots · 20:04 TOI

@ CBJ

1P

1G 0A

@ CBJ 03-05

1G 0A · 2 shots · 19:24 TOI

@ DET

0P

0G 0A

@ DET 03-06

0G 0A · 3 shots · 22:54 TOI

vs DET

1P

1G 0A

vs DET 03-10

1G 0A · 1 shots · 17:59 TOI

vs CBJ

0P

0G 0A

vs CBJ 03-12

0G 0A · 1 shots · 18:29 TOI

@ SEA

0P

0G 0A

@ SEA 03-15

0G 0A · 1 shots · 18:54 TOI

@ EDM

0P

0G 0A

@ EDM 03-19

0G 0A · 0 shots · 22:31 TOI

@ CGY

0P

0G 0A

@ CGY 03-20

0G 0A · 2 shots · 17:01 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)270 events shown

The office: the left point - 1 of 3 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 14 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 81 blocks · 5 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2019-20	St. Louis Blues	5	0	1	1	3
2020-21	St. Louis Blues	30	1	2	3	-11
2021-22	St. Louis Blues	54	3	10	13	-6
2022-23	St. Louis Blues	50	0	3	3	2
2022-23	New York Rangers	31	1	2	3	4
2023-24	Florida Panthers	82	3	14	17	11
2024-25	Florida Panthers	76	6	16	22	12
2025-26	Florida Panthers	68	3	8	11	-1
Career	3 teams	396	17	56	73	14