HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Troy Terry

Anaheim Ducks · RW · #19
First-line playerTop-Six Threat?57 points in 61 games with strong all-around impact
HT
6'0"
WT
193 lb
Age
28
Shoots
R
From
Denver, USA
Draft
2015 ANA · R5 #148
85Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
8080pctl
Playmaking?
8181pctl
Transition?
8181pctl
Defense?
3838pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.9391pctl
Goals / GP?
0.3180pctl
Assists / GP?
0.6294pctl
Shots / GP?
2.690pctl
Plus/Minus?
+1186pctl
PP Points?
1274pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
10.9%91pctl
ZEIS?
3.5491pctl
PSPL?
0.2182pctl
Def Suppression?
0.1617pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP
Shots / 60?
8.684pctl
Hits / 60?
0.10pctl
Take : Give?
0.5188pctl
Blocks / 60?
0.854pctl
PP TOI / GP?
3:1287pctl
PK TOI / GP?
0:5572pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 38 GP tracked · 12h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.7 min70pctl
Support received?
18.7 min11pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 868 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$7.00M

cap hit

$9.36M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A

Team-friendly deal (+$2.4M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Troy Terry85$7.00MA+$2.4Mthis player
Kirill Marchenko85$3.85MA++$5.5M91%
Filip Forsberg85$8.50MB+$0.9M90%
Pavel Dorofeyev83$1.83MA++$6.8M88%
Drake Batherson83$4.97MA+$3.7M88%

Recent form · last 10 games

5 pts · 2 G · 3 A · 39 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ EDM

0P

0G 0A

vs TOR

1P

0G 1A

@ SJS

1P

1G 0A

vs STL

0P

0G 0A

vs CGY

0P

0G 0A

vs NSH

0P

0G 0A

vs SJS

2P

0G 2A

vs VAN

0P

0G 0A

@ MIN

0P

0G 0A

@ NSH

1P

1G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)316 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 8 of 19 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 25 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 18 blocks · 6 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2017-18Anaheim Ducks20000
2018-19Anaheim Ducks3249138
2019-20Anaheim Ducks4741115-5
2020-21Anaheim Ducks4871320-1
2021-22Anaheim Ducks75373067-11
2022-23Anaheim Ducks70233861-8
2023-24Anaheim Ducks76203454-10
2024-25Anaheim Ducks772134550
2025-26Anaheim Ducks6119385711
Career1 team488135207342-16