HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Trent Frederic

Edmonton Oilers · C · #10
Depth playerFaceoff General?57.1% on 156 draws - possession starts with him
HT
6'3"
WT
221 lb
Age
28
Shoots
L
From
St. Louis, USA
Draft
2016 BOS · R1 #29
49Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
1919pctl
Playmaking?
1111pctl
Transition?
2020pctl
Defense?
2525pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.093pctl
Goals / GP?
0.059pctl
Assists / GP?
0.042pctl
Shots / GP?
1.024pctl
Plus/Minus?
-1512pctl
PP Points?
016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
3.7%41pctl
ZEIS?
1.0824pctl
PSPL?
0.0310pctl
Def Suppression?
0.2021pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP
Faceoff %?
57.1%92pctl
D-Zone FO %?
59.6%96pctl
Draws / GP
2.123pctl
Take : Give?
0.2623pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:0727pctl
PK TOI / GP?
0:003pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 43 GP tracked · 8h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
16.8 min10pctl
Support received?
16.4 min81pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 808 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$3.85M

cap hit

$0.86M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

F

Well above market ($3.0M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Trent Frederic49$3.85MF$3.0Mthis player
Calle Jarnkrok51--91%
Kyle MacLean50$0.80MC+$0.1M89%
Justin Kirkland53$0.90MC+$0.0M88%
Sam Lafferty50$2.00MD$1.1M87%

Chemistry

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

2 pts · 0 G · 2 A · 15 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs NSH

0P

0G 0A

vs SJS

1P

0G 1A

vs FLA

0P

0G 0A

vs CHI

0P

0G 0A

vs VGK

0P

0G 0A

@ UTA

1P

0G 1A

@ SJS

0P

0G 0A

@ LAK

0P

0G 0A

vs COL

0P

0G 0A

vs VAN

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)213 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 2 of 4 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 9 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 24 blocks · 3 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2018-19Boston Bruins15000-4
2019-20Boston Bruins2000-1
2020-21Boston Bruins42415-8
2021-22Boston Bruins608101810
2022-23Boston Bruins7917143128
2023-24Boston Bruins821822409
2024-25Boston Bruins578715-14
2024-25Edmonton Oilers1000-2
2025-26Edmonton Oilers74437-15
Career2 teams41259571163