HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Kasperi Kapanen

Edmonton Oilers · RW · #42
Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?Energy role: 75 hits (7.5/60)
HT
6'1"
WT
194 lb
Age
30
Shoots
R
From
Kuopio, FIN
Draft
2014 PIT · R1 #22
63Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
4848pctl
Playmaking?
3030pctl
Transition?
3838pctl
Defense?
4444pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.4148pctl
Goals / GP?
0.2053pctl
Assists / GP?
0.2246pctl
Shots / GP?
1.657pctl
Plus/Minus?
+575pctl
PP Points?
016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
4.8%53pctl
ZEIS?
1.5744pctl
PSPL?
0.002pctl
Def Suppression?
0.3743pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP
Shots / 60?
6.546pctl
Hits / 60?
7.574pctl
Take : Give?
0.2845pctl
Blocks / 60?
1.8054pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:1624pctl
PK TOI / GP?
0:6074pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 29 GP tracked · 7h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.7 min73pctl
Support received?
17.5 min42pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 547 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$1.30M

cap hit

$2.68M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$1.4M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Kasperi Kapanen63$1.30MB+$1.4Mthis player
Danila Yurov61$0.95MB+$1.3M91%
Anthony-John (AJ) Greer65$0.85MA+$2.3M87%
Josh Anderson63$5.50MF$2.8M85%
Arttu Hyry59$0.87MB+$1.0M84%

Recent form · last 10 games

2 pts · 1 G · 1 A · 13 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ VGK

0P

0G 0A

vs ANA

0P

0G 0A

vs SEA

1P

1G 0A

vs CHI

0P

0G 0A

vs VGK

0P

0G 0A

@ UTA

1P

0G 1A

@ SJS

0P

0G 0A

@ LAK

0P

0G 0A

vs COL

0P

0G 0A

vs VAN

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)112 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 4 of 8 goals live there

Defensive floor: 18 blocks · 4 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2015-16Toronto Maple Leafs9000-3
2016-17Toronto Maple Leafs8101-2
2017-18Toronto Maple Leafs38729-1
2018-19Toronto Maple Leafs7820244412
2019-20Toronto Maple Leafs691323360
2020-21Pittsburgh Penguins4011193015
2021-22Pittsburgh Penguins791121322
2022-23Pittsburgh Penguins4371320-8
2022-23St. Louis Blues2386140
2023-24St. Louis Blues7361622-5
2024-25St. Louis Blues10101-6
2024-25Edmonton Oilers575813-16
2025-26Edmonton Oilers4189175
Career4 teams56898141239-7