HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Nico Hischier

New Jersey Devils · C · #13
First-line playerTop-Six Threat?66 points in 82 games with strong all-around impact
HT
6'1"
WT
200 lb
Age
27
Shoots
L
From
Naters, CHE
Draft
2017 NJD · R1 #1
85Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
8383pctl
Playmaking?
8484pctl
Transition?
8383pctl
Defense?
7676pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.8084pctl
Goals / GP?
0.3484pctl
Assists / GP?
0.4684pctl
Shots / GP?
2.689pctl
Plus/Minus?
-634pctl
PP Points?
2391pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
11.4%94pctl
ZEIS?
3.5290pctl
PSPL?
0.3095pctl
Def Suppression?
0.7078pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP
Faceoff %?
55.8%87pctl
D-Zone FO %?
55.0%81pctl
Draws / GP
22.0100pctl
Take : Give?
0.3861pctl
PP TOI / GP?
3:0381pctl
PK TOI / GP?
1:4978pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 48 GP tracked · 17h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.8 min78pctl
Support received?
18.9 min8pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1301 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$7.25M

cap hit

$9.36M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A

Team-friendly deal (+$2.1M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Nico Hischier85$7.25MA+$2.1Mthis player
Nick Schmaltz87$5.85MA++$4.2M93%
Brock Nelson84$7.50MB+$1.5M92%
Wyatt Johnston90$8.40MA+$2.8M88%
Nick Suzuki91$7.88MA++$4.1M86%

Chemistry

Top connection: Jesper Bratt · 18 goals together

Recent form · last 10 games

10 pts · 2 G · 8 A · 20 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs CHI

2P

0G 2A

@ NYR

1P

0G 1A

vs WSH

2P

0G 2A

vs MTL

1P

0G 1A

@ MTL

0P

0G 0A

vs PHI

0P

0G 0A

vs PIT

0P

0G 0A

@ DET

1P

0G 1A

vs OTT

3P

2G 1A

@ BOS

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)809 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 13 of 28 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 38 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 68 blocks · 10 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2017-18New Jersey Devils8220325210
2018-19New Jersey Devils691730470
2019-20New Jersey Devils58142236-16
2020-21New Jersey Devils216511-9
2021-22New Jersey Devils70213960-1
2022-23New Jersey Devils8131498033
2023-24New Jersey Devils71274067-5
2024-25New Jersey Devils753534699
2025-26New Jersey Devils82283866-6
Career1 team60919928948815