Regular season

Peyton Krebs

Buffalo Sabres · C · #19

Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?Energy role: 201 hits (10.7/60)

HT: 6'0"
WT: 188 lb
Age: 25
Shoots: L
From: Calgary, CAN
Draft: 2019 VGK · R1 #17

64Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

3636pctl

4848pctl

3030pctl

3838pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.4858pctl

0.1536pctl

0.3367pctl

1.130pctl

+1389pctl

135pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

4.6%51pctl

1.3434pctl

0.0832pctl

Def Suppression?

0.2425pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

44.0%18pctl

D-Zone FO %?

47.8%41pctl

5.842pctl

0.3862pctl

0:0525pctl

0:0730pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 51 GP tracked · 12h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

47.0%27pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

55.2%74pctl

O-zone deployment?

51%53pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.5 min58pctl

Support received?

18.6 min14pctl

D-zone deployment?

49%47pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0215pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.5134pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.1618pctl

1.09×94pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.20/gm60pctl

Pressure escape rate?

9.4%81pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1111 EV min

General Offense

4.5925

5.5615

Shot Setups/60?

0.7634

Chance Setups/60?

0.7652

Primary Contributions/60?

5.3424

Rebounds Created/60?

0.3230

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0027

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.4334

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.1623

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0568

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0530

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.6262

Rush Offense/60?

6.4229

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.1611

0.4920

0.0525

Deflections/60?

1.3550

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.2271

Entries Finished/60?

0.8158

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.5462

Entry → Chance %?

67%60

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.4671

0.2240

1.2477

Retrieval Success %?

15%24

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0034

Exit Success %?

0%30

Forechecking

6.8075

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0042

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$1.45M

cap hit

$2.92M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$1.5M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Peyton Krebs	64	Depth Forward	39 P · 82 GP	$1.45M	$2.92M	B+$1.5M	this player
Robby Fabbri	61	Depth Forward	5 P · 21 GP	-	$2.24M	-	90%
Yakov Trenin	61	Wrecking Ball	23 P · 82 GP	$3.50M	$2.24M	D−$1.3M	90%
Zemgus Girgensons	60	Depth Forward	20 P · 74 GP	$0.88M	$2.03M	B+$1.2M	88%
Yanni Gourde	61	Depth Forward	28 P · 82 GP	$2.33M	$2.24M	C−$0.1M	87%

Chemistry

Top connection: Tage Thompson · 16 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Peyton’s goals

Creates for

goals Peyton assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

6 pts · 3 G · 3 A · 16 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs DET

1P

0G 1A

vs DET 03-27

0G 1A · 1 shots · 13:12 TOI

vs SEA

1P

1G 0A

vs SEA 03-28

1G 0A · 3 shots · 15:17 TOI

vs NYI

1P

1G 0A

vs NYI 03-31

1G 0A · 1 shots · 17:37 TOI

@ OTT

1P

0G 1A

@ OTT 04-02

0G 1A · 2 shots · 12:16 TOI

@ WSH

0P

0G 0A

@ WSH 04-04

0G 0A · 2 shots · 12:05 TOI

vs TBL

0P

0G 0A

vs TBL 04-06

0G 0A · 1 shots · 12:37 TOI

@ NYR

1P

0G 1A

@ NYR 04-08

0G 1A · 2 shots · 15:04 TOI

vs CBJ

1P

1G 0A

vs CBJ 04-09

1G 0A · 1 shots · 14:35 TOI

@ CHI

0P

0G 0A

@ CHI 04-13

0G 0A · 1 shots · 14:32 TOI

vs DAL

0P

0G 0A

vs DAL 04-15

0G 0A · 2 shots · 19:00 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)328 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 5 of 12 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 14 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 47 blocks · 5 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2020-21	Vegas Golden Knights	4	0	1	1	1
2021-22	Vegas Golden Knights	9	0	0	0	-6
2021-22	Buffalo Sabres	48	7	15	22	-20
2022-23	Buffalo Sabres	74	9	17	26	-8
2023-24	Buffalo Sabres	80	4	13	17	2
2024-25	Buffalo Sabres	81	10	18	28	1
2025-26	Buffalo Sabres	82	12	27	39	13
Career	2 teams	378	42	91	133	-17