Regular season

Kevin Stenlund

Utah Mammoth · C · #82

Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?Shot-eating depth: 61 blocks in 80 games

HT: 6'3"
WT: 213 lb
Age: 29
Shoots: R
From: Stockholm, SWE
Draft: 2015 CBJ · R2 #58

55Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

2222pctl

2424pctl

3030pctl

6161pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.2319pctl

0.058pctl

0.1732pctl

0.810pctl

-924pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

4.2%46pctl

1.2933pctl

0.0310pctl

Def Suppression?

0.5969pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

54.2%80pctl

D-Zone FO %?

57.5%91pctl

14.384pctl

0.2624pctl

0:1531pctl

2:56100pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 47 GP tracked · 11h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

47.5%31pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

44.1%26pctl

O-zone deployment?

31%5pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.2 min36pctl

Support received?

16.6 min74pctl

D-zone deployment?

69%95pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0748pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.5335pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.2641pctl

0.94×23pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.18/gm66pctl

Pressure escape rate?

7.8%49pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 905 EV min

General Offense

3.5214

6.0421

Shot Setups/60?

0.6025

Chance Setups/60?

0.4021

Primary Contributions/60?

4.1114

Rebounds Created/60?

0.2725

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0759

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.4030

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.2743

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0037

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.2069

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

0.8018

Rush Offense/60?

6.7033

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.4022

0.4016

0.0729

Deflections/60?

0.9327

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.2777

Entries Finished/60?

0.3318

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.1315

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.0644

0.2037

0.8652

Retrieval Success %?

19%33

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0034

Exit Success %?

0%31

Forechecking

1.8630

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0042

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$2.00M

cap hit

$1.16M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

D

Paying a premium (−$0.8M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Kevin Stenlund	55	Depth Forward	18 P · 80 GP	$2.00M	$1.16M	D−$0.8M	this player
Ty Dellandrea	56	Depth Forward	11 P · 46 GP	$1.30M	$1.30M	C+$0.0M	95%
David Kampf	54	Depth Forward	6 P · 40 GP	$2.40M	$1.03M	D−$1.4M	93%
Fedor Svechkov	56	Depth Forward	17 P · 70 GP	$0.93M	$1.30M	C+$0.4M	86%
Jason Dickinson	59	Depth Forward	17 P · 64 GP	$4.25M	$1.83M	D−$2.4M	86%

Chemistry

Top connection: Lawson Crouse · 4 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Kevin’s goals

Creates for

goals Kevin assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

0 pts · 0 G · 0 A · 8 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs WSH

0P

0G 0A

vs WSH 03-26

0G 0A · 3 shots · 14:59 TOI

@ LAK

0P

0G 0A

@ LAK 03-28

0G 0A · 0 shots · 14:47 TOI

@ SEA

0P

0G 0A

@ SEA 04-02

0G 0A · 1 shots · 13:43 TOI

@ VAN

0P

0G 0A

@ VAN 04-04

0G 0A · 0 shots · 15:53 TOI

vs EDM

0P

0G 0A

vs EDM 04-07

0G 0A · 1 shots · 11:11 TOI

vs NSH

0P

0G 0A

vs NSH 04-09

0G 0A · 2 shots · 13:35 TOI

vs CAR

0P

0G 0A

vs CAR 04-11

0G 0A · 0 shots · 13:12 TOI

@ CGY

0P

0G 0A

@ CGY 04-12

0G 0A · 1 shots · 15:07 TOI

vs WPG

0P

0G 0A

vs WPG 04-14

0G 0A · 0 shots · 13:52 TOI

vs STL

0P

0G 0A

vs STL 04-16

0G 0A · 0 shots · 14:25 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)457 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 2 of 4 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 9 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 70 blocks · 8 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2018-19	Columbus Blue Jackets	4	0	0	0	0
2019-20	Columbus Blue Jackets	32	6	4	10	2
2020-21	Columbus Blue Jackets	32	5	5	10	-4
2021-22	Columbus Blue Jackets	3	0	0	0	0
2022-23	Winnipeg Jets	54	6	3	9	3
2023-24	Florida Panthers	81	11	4	15	-10
2024-25	Utah Hockey Club	82	14	14	28	-6
2025-26	Utah Mammoth	80	4	14	18	-9
Career	5 teams	368	46	44	90	-24