Regular season

Jack Hughes

New Jersey Devils · C · #86

EliteDual Threat?27G + 50A - elite at finishing and creating (top ~10% of forwards in both)

HT: 5'11"
WT: 175 lb
Age: 25
Shoots: L
From: Orlando, USA
Draft: 2019 NJD · R1 #1

93Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

8888pctl

8989pctl

9090pctl

3838pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

1.2698pctl

0.4493pctl

0.8298pctl

3.799pctl

058pctl

2391pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

13.4%97pctl

5.2299pctl

0.3296pctl

Def Suppression?

0.3134pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

34.8%3pctl

D-Zone FO %?

25.3%1pctl

6.847pctl

0.2932pctl

2:5779pctl

0:2439pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 35 GP tracked · 13h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

53.8%82pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

47.4%40pctl

O-zone deployment?

77%100pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.5 min59pctl

Support received?

18.6 min14pctl

D-zone deployment?

23%0pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.1896pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.9393pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.5286pctl

1.04×78pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.18/gm67pctl

Pressure escape rate?

10.6%94pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1096 EV min

General Offense

8.5989

13.1491

Shot Setups/60?

1.4284

Chance Setups/60?

1.2687

Primary Contributions/60?

10.0289

Rebounds Created/60?

0.5562

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0552

Center-Lane Setups/60?

1.0988

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.6085

Deflection Setups/60?

0.1184

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.2274

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

2.5789

Rush Offense/60?

11.8287

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.6040

0.6635

0.0525

Deflections/60?

1.0430

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.1661

Entries Finished/60?

0.8863

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.8887

Entry → Chance %?

100%91

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.5978

0.3866

1.2075

Retrieval Success %?

24%47

Exit Involvements/60?

0.1180

Exit Success %?

7%73

Forechecking

0.8812

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0042

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$8.00M

cap hit

$13.65M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A+

Massive surplus value (+$5.6M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Jack Hughes	93	Dual Threat	77 P · 61 GP	$8.00M	$13.65M	A++$5.6M	this player
Macklin Celebrini	96	Dual Threat	115 P · 82 GP	$0.97M	$16.12M	A++$15.1M	88%
Jack Eichel	92	Playmaker	90 P · 74 GP	$10.00M	$12.83M	A+$2.8M	88%
Connor Bedard	89	Dual Threat	75 P · 69 GP	$0.95M	$10.83M	A++$9.9M	87%
Mika Zibanejad	87	Top-Six Threat	78 P · 81 GP	$8.50M	$10.09M	B+$1.6M	87%

Chemistry

Top connection: Jesper Bratt · 24 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Jack’s goals

Creates for

goals Jack assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

18 pts · 7 G · 11 A · 46 shots in last 10Cooling off(-1.6 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs CHI

4P

2G 2A

vs CHI 03-29

2G 2A · 8 shots · 22:12 TOI

@ NYR

0P

0G 0A

@ NYR 03-31

0G 0A · 4 shots · 21:58 TOI

vs WSH

5P

2G 3A

vs WSH 04-02

2G 3A · 5 shots · 22:25 TOI

vs MTL

2P

1G 1A

vs MTL 04-04

1G 1A · 5 shots · 26:26 TOI

@ MTL

2P

0G 2A

@ MTL 04-05

0G 2A · 6 shots · 21:41 TOI

vs PHI

0P

0G 0A

vs PHI 04-07

0G 0A · 5 shots · 22:44 TOI

vs PIT

1P

1G 0A

vs PIT 04-09

1G 0A · 5 shots · 20:49 TOI

@ DET

2P

1G 1A

@ DET 04-11

1G 1A · 3 shots · 19:47 TOI

vs OTT

2P

0G 2A

vs OTT 04-12

0G 2A · 3 shots · 25:32 TOI

@ BOS

0P

0G 0A

@ BOS 04-14

0G 0A · 2 shots · 21:07 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)529 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 8 of 27 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 32 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 34 blocks · 13 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2019-20	New Jersey Devils	61	7	14	21	-26
2020-21	New Jersey Devils	56	11	20	31	-3
2021-22	New Jersey Devils	49	26	30	56	-16
2022-23	New Jersey Devils	78	43	56	99	10
2023-24	New Jersey Devils	62	27	47	74	-12
2024-25	New Jersey Devils	62	27	43	70	12
2025-26	New Jersey Devils	61	27	50	77	0
Career	1 team	429	168	260	428	-35