Regular season

Dominic James

Tampa Bay Lightning · C · #17

Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?15 points in 43 games in a supporting role

HT: 6'0"
WT: 190 lb
Age: 24
Shoots: L
From: Plymouth, USA
Draft: 2022 CHI · R6 #173

63Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

4141pctl

4646pctl

3636pctl

2727pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.3538pctl

0.1643pctl

0.1938pctl

1.340pctl

+473pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

4.1%44pctl

1.4339pctl

0.1355pctl

Def Suppression?

0.058pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

50.4%55pctl

D-Zone FO %?

53.2%70pctl

6.444pctl

0.3451pctl

0:4244pctl

0:0426pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 17 GP tracked · 3h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

54.0%82pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

57.1%81pctl

O-zone deployment?

53%66pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

16.1 min0pctl

Support received?

16.0 min90pctl

D-zone deployment?

47%34pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.1070pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.6641pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.2844pctl

0.93×20pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.13/gm87pctl

Pressure escape rate?

9.5%82pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 494 EV min

General Offense

6.4463

7.7850

Shot Setups/60?

0.9753

Chance Setups/60?

0.7349

Primary Contributions/60?

7.4261

Rebounds Created/60?

0.6166

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.2481

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.6154

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.6179

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0039

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0024

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.0935

Rush Offense/60?

9.9774

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.3624

0.4926

0.2468

Deflections/60?

0.7323

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0024

Entries Finished/60?

0.8559

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.6167

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

2.3183

0.4972

1.8283

Retrieval Success %?

21%41

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0037

Exit Success %?

0%34

Forechecking

4.8661

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0043

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.91M

cap hit

$2.68M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$1.8M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Dominic James	63	Depth Forward	15 P · 43 GP	$0.91M	$2.68M	B+$1.8M	this player
Robby Fabbri	61	Depth Forward	5 P · 21 GP	-	$2.24M	-	89%
Scott Laughton	62	Faceoff General	20 P · 64 GP	$3.00M	$2.46M	C−$0.5M	87%
Peyton Krebs	64	Depth Forward	39 P · 82 GP	$1.45M	$2.92M	B+$1.5M	85%
Ben Meyers	59	Depth Forward	15 P · 52 GP	$0.78M	$1.83M	B+$1.1M	85%

Chemistry

Top connection: Jake Guentzel · 4 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Dominic’s goals

Creates for

goals Dominic assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

4 pts · 3 G · 1 A · 22 shots in last 10Heating up(+0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ CHI

0P

0G 0A

@ CHI 01-23

0G 0A · 2 shots · 12:38 TOI

@ CBJ

0P

0G 0A

@ CBJ 01-24

0G 0A · 0 shots · 13:49 TOI

vs UTA

0P

0G 0A

vs UTA 01-26

0G 0A · 4 shots · 13:14 TOI

vs WPG

1P

1G 0A

vs WPG 01-29

1G 0A · 3 shots · 11:30 TOI

vs BOS

0P

0G 0A

vs BOS 02-01

0G 0A · 3 shots · 13:41 TOI

vs BUF

0P

0G 0A

vs BUF 02-03

0G 0A · 2 shots · 13:02 TOI

vs FLA

1P

0G 1A

vs FLA 02-05

0G 1A · 0 shots · 15:23 TOI

vs TOR

0P

0G 0A

vs TOR 02-25

0G 0A · 3 shots · 10:59 TOI

@ CAR

1P

1G 0A

@ CAR 02-26

1G 0A · 4 shots · 16:55 TOI

vs BUF

1P

1G 0A

vs BUF 02-28

1G 0A · 1 shots · 13:06 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)221 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 2 of 7 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 9 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 17 blocks · 4 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2025-26	Tampa Bay Lightning	43	7	8	15	4
Career	1 team	43	7	8	15	4