Regular season

Jake Neighbours

St. Louis Blues · LW · #63

Middle-six playerDepth Forward?Energy role: 152 hits (8.7/60)

HT: 6'0"
WT: 201 lb
Age: 24
Shoots: L
From: Calgary, CAN
Draft: 2020 STL · R1 #26

68Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

5252pctl

4747pctl

3737pctl

5959pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.5263pctl

0.2259pctl

0.3064pctl

1.236pctl

-730pctl

763pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

6.4%68pctl

1.5243pctl

0.0832pctl

Def Suppression?

0.4958pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

4.914pctl

8.778pctl

0.3356pctl

2.0564pctl

2:0667pctl

0:0245pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 43 GP tracked · 11h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

52.9%76pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

55.6%76pctl

O-zone deployment?

51%54pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.4 min50pctl

Support received?

18.2 min24pctl

D-zone deployment?

49%46pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0962pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.7689pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.3864pctl

0.96×32pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.17/gm70pctl

Pressure escape rate?

6.5%19pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 903 EV min

General Offense

4.7228

7.3142

Shot Setups/60?

1.0055

Chance Setups/60?

0.9367

Primary Contributions/60?

5.7232

Rebounds Created/60?

0.3332

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0759

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.8073

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.3352

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0037

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.2069

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

0.6014

Rush Offense/60?

6.6533

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.5333

0.8656

0.2063

Deflections/60?

1.4051

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0737

Entries Finished/60?

0.6644

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.6068

Entry → Chance %?

90%87

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

0.6618

0.0719

0.6029

Retrieval Success %?

10%20

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0034

Exit Success %?

0%31

Forechecking

5.4567

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0042

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$3.75M

cap hit

$3.94M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.2M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Jake Neighbours	68	Depth Forward	36 P · 69 GP	$3.75M	$3.94M	C+$0.2M	this player
Erik Haula	68	Depth Forward	38 P · 81 GP	$3.15M	$3.94M	B+$0.8M	87%
David Perron	68	Depth Forward	28 P · 65 GP	-	$3.94M	-	87%
Braeden Bowman	69	Depth Forward	26 P · 54 GP	$0.88M	$4.22M	A+$3.3M	83%
James van Riemsdyk	68	Depth Forward	31 P · 72 GP	-	$3.94M	-	82%

Chemistry

Top connection: Pavel Buchnevich · 8 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Jake’s goals

Creates for

goals Jake assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

8 pts · 1 G · 7 A · 14 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ SJS

2P

0G 2A

@ SJS 03-30

0G 2A · 2 shots · 15:58 TOI

@ LAK

0P

0G 0A

@ LAK 04-01

0G 0A · 0 shots · 15:14 TOI

@ ANA

2P

0G 2A

@ ANA 04-03

0G 2A · 1 shots · 15:59 TOI

@ COL

0P

0G 0A

@ COL 04-05

0G 0A · 0 shots · 14:56 TOI

vs COL

0P

0G 0A

vs COL 04-07

0G 0A · 2 shots · 16:20 TOI

vs WPG

0P

0G 0A

vs WPG 04-09

0G 0A · 4 shots · 15:51 TOI

@ CHI

1P

0G 1A

@ CHI 04-11

0G 1A · 1 shots · 13:47 TOI

vs MIN

1P

1G 0A

vs MIN 04-13

1G 0A · 1 shots · 13:26 TOI

vs PIT

2P

0G 2A

vs PIT 04-14

0G 2A · 1 shots · 13:16 TOI

@ UTA

0P

0G 0A

@ UTA 04-16

0G 0A · 2 shots · 14:47 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)162 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 7 of 15 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 17 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 46 blocks · 1 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2021-22	St. Louis Blues	9	1	1	2	-2
2022-23	St. Louis Blues	43	6	4	10	-19
2023-24	St. Louis Blues	77	27	11	38	-16
2024-25	St. Louis Blues	82	22	24	46	0
2025-26	St. Louis Blues	69	15	21	36	-7
Career	1 team	280	71	61	132	-44