Regular season

Otto Stenberg

St. Louis Blues · C · #28

Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?10 points in 32 games in a supporting role

HT: 5'11"
WT: 188 lb
Age: 21
Shoots: L
From: Stenungsund, SWE
Draft: 2023 STL · R1 #25

60Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

3131pctl

3838pctl

2727pctl

5151pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.3134pctl

0.0921pctl

0.2245pctl

1.018pctl

+370pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

4.9%55pctl

1.1125pctl

0.0624pctl

Def Suppression?

0.4249pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

0.49pctl

0.3348pctl

0:1734pctl

1:0457pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 23 GP tracked · 5h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

48.9%43pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

50.0%52pctl

O-zone deployment?

44%27pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.1 min27pctl

Support received?

17.4 min47pctl

D-zone deployment?

56%73pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0644pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.0564pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.3864pctl

0.94×24pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.13/gm87pctl

Pressure escape rate?

5.8%11pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 392 EV min

General Offense

4.2828

7.0439

Shot Setups/60?

0.1520

Chance Setups/60?

0.1520

Primary Contributions/60?

4.4423

Rebounds Created/60?

0.1525

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0033

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.1521

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.1528

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0039

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0026

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

0.6122

Rush Offense/60?

5.9730

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.6143

0.7748

0.3172

Deflections/60?

1.5357

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0026

Entries Finished/60?

0.7754

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.3134

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

0.7730

0.1534

0.6134

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0038

Forechecking

5.3663

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0044

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.92M

cap hit

$2.03M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$1.1M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Otto Stenberg	60	Depth Forward	10 P · 32 GP	$0.92M	$2.03M	B+$1.1M	this player
Zemgus Girgensons	60	Depth Forward	20 P · 74 GP	$0.88M	$2.03M	B+$1.2M	91%
Noah Laba	59	Depth Forward	24 P · 74 GP	$0.91M	$1.83M	B+$0.9M	90%
Nicolas Roy	60	Depth Forward	25 P · 74 GP	$3.00M	$2.03M	D−$1.0M	90%
Sean Kuraly	58	Depth Forward	22 P · 82 GP	$1.85M	$1.64M	C−$0.2M	88%

Chemistry

Finishes from

assisters on Otto’s goals

Creates for

goals Otto assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

2 pts · 2 G · 0 A · 10 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ VAN

0P

0G 0A

@ VAN 03-21

0G 0A · 0 shots · 14:45 TOI

vs WSH

1P

1G 0A

vs WSH 03-24

1G 0A · 1 shots · 11:14 TOI

vs SJS

0P

0G 0A

vs SJS 03-26

0G 0A · 0 shots · 12:52 TOI

vs TOR

0P

0G 0A

vs TOR 03-28

0G 0A · 2 shots · 13:34 TOI

@ SJS

0P

0G 0A

@ SJS 03-30

0G 0A · 2 shots · 12:00 TOI

@ LAK

0P

0G 0A

@ LAK 04-01

0G 0A · 0 shots · 14:50 TOI

@ ANA

0P

0G 0A

@ ANA 04-03

0G 0A · 1 shots · 10:30 TOI

vs WPG

0P

0G 0A

vs WPG 04-09

0G 0A · 2 shots · 15:57 TOI

@ CHI

0P

0G 0A

@ CHI 04-11

0G 0A · 0 shots · 14:00 TOI

vs MIN

1P

1G 0A

vs MIN 04-13

1G 0A · 2 shots · 10:44 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)69 events shown

The office: the right circle - 1 of 3 goals live there

Defensive floor: 18 blocks · 1 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2025-26	St. Louis Blues	32	3	7	10	3
Career	1 team	32	3	7	10	3